Anthropic’s recent partnership with SpaceX to access 220,000 GPUs at the Colossus data center, combined with the strong performance of Claude Opus 4.7 on reasoning and coding benchmarks, has driven trader consensus toward a 72.7% implied probability that the company will hold the leading large language model by the end of June. This infrastructure scaling has enabled doubled rate limits and accelerated iteration, positioning Anthropic ahead of competitors in developer adoption and capability demonstrations. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview maintains a solid 22% chance through competitive results on GPQA Diamond and ARC-AGI-2, while OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Instant release in early May has not yet shifted sentiment enough to challenge the frontrunner. Upcoming model updates and benchmark releases before the resolution date remain key swing factors in this closely watched frontier race.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAnthropic 71.7%
गूगल 22%
ओपनएआई 5%
xAI 1.1%
$6,005,832 वॉल्यूम
$6,005,832 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
Anthropic
72%
गूगल
22%
ओपनएआई
5%
xAI
1%
मेटा
1%
DeepSeek
<1%
अमेज़न
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
मिस्ट्रील
<1%
माइक्रोसॉफ्ट
<1%
बाइटडांस
<1%
अलीबाबा
<1%
मूनशॉट
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Anthropic 71.7%
गूगल 22%
ओपनएआई 5%
xAI 1.1%
$6,005,832 वॉल्यूम
$6,005,832 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
Anthropic
$844,411 वॉल्यूम
72%
गूगल
$545,967 वॉल्यूम
22%
ओपनएआई
$343,483 वॉल्यूम
5%
xAI
$1,067,620 वॉल्यूम
1%
मेटा
$136,778 वॉल्यूम
1%
DeepSeek
$504,472 वॉल्यूम
<1%
अमेज़न
$163,552 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Z.ai
$303,570 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मिस्ट्रील
$483,576 वॉल्यूम
<1%
माइक्रोसॉफ्ट
$156,695 वॉल्यूम
<1%
बाइटडांस
$160,152 वॉल्यूम
<1%
अलीबाबा
$383,394 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मूनशॉट
$364,297 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Meituan
$382,384 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Baidu
$165,478 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s recent partnership with SpaceX to access 220,000 GPUs at the Colossus data center, combined with the strong performance of Claude Opus 4.7 on reasoning and coding benchmarks, has driven trader consensus toward a 72.7% implied probability that the company will hold the leading large language model by the end of June. This infrastructure scaling has enabled doubled rate limits and accelerated iteration, positioning Anthropic ahead of competitors in developer adoption and capability demonstrations. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview maintains a solid 22% chance through competitive results on GPQA Diamond and ARC-AGI-2, while OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Instant release in early May has not yet shifted sentiment enough to challenge the frontrunner. Upcoming model updates and benchmark releases before the resolution date remain key swing factors in this closely watched frontier race.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,005,832समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s recent partnership with SpaceX to access 220,000 GPUs at the Colossus data center, combined with the strong performance of Claude Opus 4.7 on reasoning and coding benchmarks, has driven trader consensus toward a 72.7% implied probability that the company will hold the leading large language model by the end of June. This infrastructure scaling has enabled doubled rate limits and accelerated iteration, positioning Anthropic ahead of competitors in developer adoption and capability demonstrations. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview maintains a solid 22% chance through competitive results on GPQA Diamond and ARC-AGI-2, while OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Instant release in early May has not yet shifted sentiment enough to challenge the frontrunner. Upcoming model updates and benchmark releases before the resolution date remain key swing factors in this closely watched frontier race.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$6,005,832समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic’s recent partnership with SpaceX to access 220,000 GPUs at the Colossus data center, combined with the strong performance of Claude Opus 4.7 on reasoning and coding benchmarks, has driven trader consensus toward a 72.7% implied probability that the company will hold the leading large language model by the end of June. This infrastructure scaling has enabled doubled rate limits and accelerated iteration, positioning Anthropic ahead of competitors in developer adoption and capability demonstrations. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview maintains a solid 22% chance through competitive results on GPQA Diamond and ARC-AGI-2, while OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Instant release in early May has not yet shifted sentiment enough to challenge the frontrunner. Upcoming model updates and benchmark releases before the resolution date remain key swing factors in this closely watched frontier race.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न