Recent benchmark leadership and agentic capabilities from Anthropic's latest Claude models have driven trader consensus toward an 89.5% implied probability for the company holding the top AI model by end of May. Claude Opus 4.7 and related variants, released in early 2026, continue to post strong results on coding and reasoning evaluations such as SWE-Bench Verified and agentic task suites, outpacing competitors in enterprise-relevant metrics. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview and OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 family remain close in raw intelligence scores but trail in demonstrated computer-use and sustained workflow performance, keeping their implied odds at 6.5% and 1.1%. With resolution just days away, any final leaderboard shifts or new capability demos could still influence the narrow remaining probability spread.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAnthropic 90%
Google 7%
OpenAI 1.1%
Alibaba <1%
$623,556 वॉल्यूम
$623,556 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
Anthropic
90%
7%
OpenAI
1%
Alibaba
<1%
Meta
<1%
xAI
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Baidu
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Anthropic 90%
Google 7%
OpenAI 1.1%
Alibaba <1%
$623,556 वॉल्यूम
$623,556 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
Anthropic
$58,980 वॉल्यूम
90%
$68,218 वॉल्यूम
7%
OpenAI
$37,845 वॉल्यूम
1%
Alibaba
$73,150 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Meta
$41,778 वॉल्यूम
<1%
xAI
$52,617 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Mistral
$25,554 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Meituan
$34,097 वॉल्यूम
<1%
ByteDance
$38,952 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Baidu
$39,087 वॉल्यूम
<1%
DeepSeek
$35,580 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Microsoft
$25,718 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Amazon
$29,179 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Moonshot
$29,953 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Z.ai
$32,847 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Recent benchmark leadership and agentic capabilities from Anthropic's latest Claude models have driven trader consensus toward an 89.5% implied probability for the company holding the top AI model by end of May. Claude Opus 4.7 and related variants, released in early 2026, continue to post strong results on coding and reasoning evaluations such as SWE-Bench Verified and agentic task suites, outpacing competitors in enterprise-relevant metrics. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview and OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 family remain close in raw intelligence scores but trail in demonstrated computer-use and sustained workflow performance, keeping their implied odds at 6.5% and 1.1%. With resolution just days away, any final leaderboard shifts or new capability demos could still influence the narrow remaining probability spread.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$623,556समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Recent benchmark leadership and agentic capabilities from Anthropic's latest Claude models have driven trader consensus toward an 89.5% implied probability for the company holding the top AI model by end of May. Claude Opus 4.7 and related variants, released in early 2026, continue to post strong results on coding and reasoning evaluations such as SWE-Bench Verified and agentic task suites, outpacing competitors in enterprise-relevant metrics. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview and OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 family remain close in raw intelligence scores but trail in demonstrated computer-use and sustained workflow performance, keeping their implied odds at 6.5% and 1.1%. With resolution just days away, any final leaderboard shifts or new capability demos could still influence the narrow remaining probability spread.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$623,556समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent benchmark leadership and agentic capabilities from Anthropic's latest Claude models have driven trader consensus toward an 89.5% implied probability for the company holding the top AI model by end of May. Claude Opus 4.7 and related variants, released in early 2026, continue to post strong results on coding and reasoning evaluations such as SWE-Bench Verified and agentic task suites, outpacing competitors in enterprise-relevant metrics. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview and OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 family remain close in raw intelligence scores but trail in demonstrated computer-use and sustained workflow performance, keeping their implied odds at 6.5% and 1.1%. With resolution just days away, any final leaderboard shifts or new capability demos could still influence the narrow remaining probability spread.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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