Anthropic’s commanding 90.5% market-implied odds reflect its recent Claude Opus 4.6 and 4.7 releases, which posted leading scores on key benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified and Terminal-Bench for coding, reasoning, and agentic tool use. Traders see these large language models pulling ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-5 series and Google’s Gemini 3 variants in developer adoption and real-world performance metrics. Strong enterprise uptake and consistent frontier leadership over the past several weeks have reinforced this consensus. A late-May surprise from Google or OpenAI, such as a major capability upgrade or new benchmark sweep, could still shift sentiment before the May 31 resolution window closes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAnthropic 91%
Google 8%
OpenAI 1.1%
ByteDance <1%
$9,008,814 वॉल्यूम
$9,008,814 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
Anthropic
91%
8%
OpenAI
1%
ByteDance
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
मेटा
<1%
एक्सएआई
<1%
अलीबाबा
<1%
मूनशॉट
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
बाइडू
<1%
अमेज़न
<1%
मिस्टाल
<1%
Meituan
<1%
माइक्रोसॉफ्ट
<1%
Anthropic 91%
Google 8%
OpenAI 1.1%
ByteDance <1%
$9,008,814 वॉल्यूम
$9,008,814 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
Anthropic
$675,431 वॉल्यूम
91%
$621,342 वॉल्यूम
8%
OpenAI
$766,846 वॉल्यूम
1%
ByteDance
$560,523 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Z.ai
$530,051 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मेटा
$589,897 वॉल्यूम
<1%
एक्सएआई
$671,949 वॉल्यूम
<1%
अलीबाबा
$518,378 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मूनशॉट
$564,147 वॉल्यूम
<1%
DeepSeek
$478,923 वॉल्यूम
<1%
बाइडू
$470,637 वॉल्यूम
<1%
अमेज़न
$406,756 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मिस्टाल
$1,423,820 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Meituan
$311,909 वॉल्यूम
<1%
माइक्रोसॉफ्ट
$418,351 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s commanding 90.5% market-implied odds reflect its recent Claude Opus 4.6 and 4.7 releases, which posted leading scores on key benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified and Terminal-Bench for coding, reasoning, and agentic tool use. Traders see these large language models pulling ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-5 series and Google’s Gemini 3 variants in developer adoption and real-world performance metrics. Strong enterprise uptake and consistent frontier leadership over the past several weeks have reinforced this consensus. A late-May surprise from Google or OpenAI, such as a major capability upgrade or new benchmark sweep, could still shift sentiment before the May 31 resolution window closes.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$9,008,814समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s commanding 90.5% market-implied odds reflect its recent Claude Opus 4.6 and 4.7 releases, which posted leading scores on key benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified and Terminal-Bench for coding, reasoning, and agentic tool use. Traders see these large language models pulling ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-5 series and Google’s Gemini 3 variants in developer adoption and real-world performance metrics. Strong enterprise uptake and consistent frontier leadership over the past several weeks have reinforced this consensus. A late-May surprise from Google or OpenAI, such as a major capability upgrade or new benchmark sweep, could still shift sentiment before the May 31 resolution window closes.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$9,008,814समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s commanding 90.5% market-implied odds reflect its recent Claude Opus 4.6 and 4.7 releases, which posted leading scores on key benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified and Terminal-Bench for coding, reasoning, and agentic tool use. Traders see these large language models pulling ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-5 series and Google’s Gemini 3 variants in developer adoption and real-world performance metrics. Strong enterprise uptake and consistent frontier leadership over the past several weeks have reinforced this consensus. A late-May surprise from Google or OpenAI, such as a major capability upgrade or new benchmark sweep, could still shift sentiment before the May 31 resolution window closes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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