Anthropic holds an overwhelming 89.5% market-implied probability of topping LiveBench coding at end of October, reflecting trader consensus around its recent Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 variants. These models have posted leading or near-leading scores on the benchmark’s coding tasks in mid-2026 snapshots, driven by strong performance on code generation, completion, and agentic workflows that outpace OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 and GPT-6 series entries. OpenAI sits at just 9.2% amid slightly lower verified coding averages, while Google, DeepSeek, and others trail below 1%. With roughly six weeks until resolution, any new model release or leaderboard refresh could narrow the gap, though current evidence from contamination-controlled evaluations continues to favor Anthropic’s frontier coding capabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाएंथ्रॉपिक 90%
OpenAI 9.2%
गूगल <1%
डीपसीक <1%
$22,427 वॉल्यूम
$22,427 वॉल्यूम
31 अक्टू, 2026
एंथ्रॉपिक
90%
OpenAI
9%
गूगल
1%
डीपसीक
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
MiniMax
<1%
मेटा
<1%
अलीबाबा
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
अमेज़न
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Thinky
<1%
मिस्त्राल
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
माइक्रोसॉफ्ट
<1%
एंथ्रॉपिक 90%
OpenAI 9.2%
गूगल <1%
डीपसीक <1%
$22,427 वॉल्यूम
$22,427 वॉल्यूम
31 अक्टू, 2026
एंथ्रॉपिक
$9,875 वॉल्यूम
90%
OpenAI
$3,322 वॉल्यूम
9%
गूगल
$746 वॉल्यूम
1%
डीपसीक
$703 वॉल्यूम
1%
SpaceXAI
$1,102 वॉल्यूम
1%
MiniMax
$489 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मेटा
$398 वॉल्यूम
<1%
अलीबाबा
$355 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Moonshot
$310 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Baidu
$395 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Z.ai
$507 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Xiaomi
$468 वॉल्यूम
<1%
अमेज़न
$410 वॉल्यूम
<1%
ByteDance
$363 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Nvidia
$499 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Thinky
$454 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मिस्त्राल
$612 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Meituan
$364 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Tencent
$297 वॉल्यूम
<1%
StepFun
$334 वॉल्यूम
<1%
माइक्रोसॉफ्ट
$426 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic holds an overwhelming 89.5% market-implied probability of topping LiveBench coding at end of October, reflecting trader consensus around its recent Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 variants. These models have posted leading or near-leading scores on the benchmark’s coding tasks in mid-2026 snapshots, driven by strong performance on code generation, completion, and agentic workflows that outpace OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 and GPT-6 series entries. OpenAI sits at just 9.2% amid slightly lower verified coding averages, while Google, DeepSeek, and others trail below 1%. With roughly six weeks until resolution, any new model release or leaderboard refresh could narrow the gap, though current evidence from contamination-controlled evaluations continues to favor Anthropic’s frontier coding capabilities.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 12, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$22,427समाप्ति तिथि
1 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 8:05 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic holds an overwhelming 89.5% market-implied probability of topping LiveBench coding at end of October, reflecting trader consensus around its recent Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 variants. These models have posted leading or near-leading scores on the benchmark’s coding tasks in mid-2026 snapshots, driven by strong performance on code generation, completion, and agentic workflows that outpace OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 and GPT-6 series entries. OpenAI sits at just 9.2% amid slightly lower verified coding averages, while Google, DeepSeek, and others trail below 1%. With roughly six weeks until resolution, any new model release or leaderboard refresh could narrow the gap, though current evidence from contamination-controlled evaluations continues to favor Anthropic’s frontier coding capabilities.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
वॉल्यूम
$22,427समाप्ति तिथि
1 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 8:05 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds an overwhelming 89.5% market-implied probability of topping LiveBench coding at end of October, reflecting trader consensus around its recent Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 variants. These models have posted leading or near-leading scores on the benchmark’s coding tasks in mid-2026 snapshots, driven by strong performance on code generation, completion, and agentic workflows that outpace OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 and GPT-6 series entries. OpenAI sits at just 9.2% amid slightly lower verified coding averages, while Google, DeepSeek, and others trail below 1%. With roughly six weeks until resolution, any new model release or leaderboard refresh could narrow the gap, though current evidence from contamination-controlled evaluations continues to favor Anthropic’s frontier coding capabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न