Anthropic holds the market edge on LiveBench overall through October due to its recent Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 releases posting the highest scores on the benchmark’s refreshed objective tasks across reasoning, coding, and knowledge categories. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 variants trail closely in second, keeping the contest tight as both labs iterate rapidly with “max effort” and thinking modes. The narrow gap reflects similar frontier capabilities, where small benchmark gains or new model drops by either company could flip leadership before resolution. Lower odds for other labs underscore slower progress on LiveBench’s contamination-resistant design. Traders are watching for any late-August or September releases that might reset the leaderboard.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAnthropic 59%
OpenAI 28%
Google 1.0%
Z.ai 1.0%

Anthropic
59%

OpenAI
28%

1%

Z.ai
1%

Meta
1%

DeepSeek
1%

Amazon
1%

ByteDance
1%

Moonshot
1%

Nvidia
1%

Meituan
1%

StepFun
1%

Xiaomi
1%

SpaceXAI
1%

Baidu
1%

Tencent
1%

Thinky
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Microsoft
<1%

Alibaba
<1%

MiniMax
<1%
Anthropic 59%
OpenAI 28%
Google 1.0%
Z.ai 1.0%

Anthropic
59%

OpenAI
28%

1%

Z.ai
1%

Meta
1%

DeepSeek
1%

Amazon
1%

ByteDance
1%

Moonshot
1%

Nvidia
1%

Meituan
1%

StepFun
1%

Xiaomi
1%

SpaceXAI
1%

Baidu
1%

Tencent
1%

Thinky
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Microsoft
<1%

Alibaba
<1%

MiniMax
<1%
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds the market edge on LiveBench overall through October due to its recent Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 releases posting the highest scores on the benchmark’s refreshed objective tasks across reasoning, coding, and knowledge categories. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 variants trail closely in second, keeping the contest tight as both labs iterate rapidly with “max effort” and thinking modes. The narrow gap reflects similar frontier capabilities, where small benchmark gains or new model drops by either company could flip leadership before resolution. Lower odds for other labs underscore slower progress on LiveBench’s contamination-resistant design. Traders are watching for any late-August or September releases that might reset the leaderboard.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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