Anthropic’s Claude models, particularly recent Opus 4.6 and 4.7 variants, have pulled ahead on key coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified, where they post leading scores above 80 percent through superior multi-file reasoning and agentic workflows. This performance edge, reinforced by strong results on LiveCodeBench and developer tooling integrations like Cursor, has driven traders to assign a 93 percent implied probability that an Anthropic model will rank first by the end of May. While OpenAI’s GPT-5 series remains competitive on speed and certain terminal benchmarks, no rival has closed the gap on complex, production-grade tasks in the past month. A surprise high-scoring release from Google, OpenAI, or an open-weight contender before month-end could still narrow the lead, though current trajectories suggest the window for such a shift is narrow.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAnthropic 93.2%
OpenAI 2.9%
Google 2.6%
DeepSeek <1%
$35,572 वॉल्यूम
$35,572 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
Anthropic
93%
OpenAI
3%
3%
DeepSeek
1%
Moonshot
1%
Z.ai
<1%
xAI
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Meta
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 93.2%
OpenAI 2.9%
Google 2.6%
DeepSeek <1%
$35,572 वॉल्यूम
$35,572 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
Anthropic
$3,964 वॉल्यूम
93%
OpenAI
$3,057 वॉल्यूम
3%
$2,844 वॉल्यूम
3%
DeepSeek
$2,557 वॉल्यूम
1%
Moonshot
$2,539 वॉल्यूम
1%
Z.ai
$2,740 वॉल्यूम
<1%
xAI
$3,265 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Baidu
$2,480 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Alibaba
$2,581 वॉल्यूम
<1%
ByteDance
$2,533 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Meta
$2,719 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Amazon
$1,058 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Mistral
$986 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Meituan
$1,139 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Microsoft
$1,110 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s Claude models, particularly recent Opus 4.6 and 4.7 variants, have pulled ahead on key coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified, where they post leading scores above 80 percent through superior multi-file reasoning and agentic workflows. This performance edge, reinforced by strong results on LiveCodeBench and developer tooling integrations like Cursor, has driven traders to assign a 93 percent implied probability that an Anthropic model will rank first by the end of May. While OpenAI’s GPT-5 series remains competitive on speed and certain terminal benchmarks, no rival has closed the gap on complex, production-grade tasks in the past month. A surprise high-scoring release from Google, OpenAI, or an open-weight contender before month-end could still narrow the lead, though current trajectories suggest the window for such a shift is narrow.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$35,572समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s Claude models, particularly recent Opus 4.6 and 4.7 variants, have pulled ahead on key coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified, where they post leading scores above 80 percent through superior multi-file reasoning and agentic workflows. This performance edge, reinforced by strong results on LiveCodeBench and developer tooling integrations like Cursor, has driven traders to assign a 93 percent implied probability that an Anthropic model will rank first by the end of May. While OpenAI’s GPT-5 series remains competitive on speed and certain terminal benchmarks, no rival has closed the gap on complex, production-grade tasks in the past month. A surprise high-scoring release from Google, OpenAI, or an open-weight contender before month-end could still narrow the lead, though current trajectories suggest the window for such a shift is narrow.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$35,572समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s Claude models, particularly recent Opus 4.6 and 4.7 variants, have pulled ahead on key coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified, where they post leading scores above 80 percent through superior multi-file reasoning and agentic workflows. This performance edge, reinforced by strong results on LiveCodeBench and developer tooling integrations like Cursor, has driven traders to assign a 93 percent implied probability that an Anthropic model will rank first by the end of May. While OpenAI’s GPT-5 series remains competitive on speed and certain terminal benchmarks, no rival has closed the gap on complex, production-grade tasks in the past month. A surprise high-scoring release from Google, OpenAI, or an open-weight contender before month-end could still narrow the lead, though current trajectories suggest the window for such a shift is narrow.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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