Anthropic leads the market with a 72% implied probability for the best math-focused large language model by end of May, fueled by the April release of Claude Opus 4.7 and its Mythos Preview variant. These models have posted top scores on competition benchmarks such as AIME and MATH-500, driven by stronger multi-step reasoning and extended chain-of-thought capabilities that outperform OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 variants and Google’s Gemini 3 series on verifiable problem-solving tasks. Traders view Anthropic’s targeted advances in mathematical consistency as decisive, especially with resolution just two weeks away and no major competing releases expected to shift the ranking before the deadline.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAnthropic 70%
OpenAI 17%
Google 14%
xAI <1%
$121,616 वॉल्यूम
$121,616 वॉल्यूम

Anthropic
70%

OpenAI
17%

14%

xAI
1%

ByteDance
1%

Z.ai
1%

DeepSeek
1%

Meta
1%

Baidu
<1%

Alibaba
<1%

Moonshot
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Meituan
<1%

Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 70%
OpenAI 17%
Google 14%
xAI <1%
$121,616 वॉल्यूम
$121,616 वॉल्यूम

Anthropic
70%

OpenAI
17%

14%

xAI
1%

ByteDance
1%

Z.ai
1%

DeepSeek
1%

Meta
1%

Baidu
<1%

Alibaba
<1%

Moonshot
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Meituan
<1%

Microsoft
<1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic leads the market with a 72% implied probability for the best math-focused large language model by end of May, fueled by the April release of Claude Opus 4.7 and its Mythos Preview variant. These models have posted top scores on competition benchmarks such as AIME and MATH-500, driven by stronger multi-step reasoning and extended chain-of-thought capabilities that outperform OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 variants and Google’s Gemini 3 series on verifiable problem-solving tasks. Traders view Anthropic’s targeted advances in mathematical consistency as decisive, especially with resolution just two weeks away and no major competing releases expected to shift the ranking before the deadline.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न