Recent model releases and benchmark performances have positioned Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.6 series as the clear frontrunner for third-best AI model by end of May, with traders assigning it a 61.5% implied probability. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro follows closely at 39% amid competitive multimodal capabilities, while OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants are viewed as locked into the top two spots. Ongoing leaderboards show Claude excelling in coding, long-context reasoning, and instruction following, giving it an edge over Gemini in key metrics. Upcoming developer updates and potential fine-tuning releases from both companies remain key swing factors before month-end resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAnthropic 61%
Google 41%
OpenAI 1.7%
xAI <1%
$91,022 वॉल्यूम
$91,022 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
Anthropic
61%
41%
OpenAI
2%
xAI
1%
Baidu
<1%
Meta
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Meituan
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Anthropic 61%
Google 41%
OpenAI 1.7%
xAI <1%
$91,022 वॉल्यूम
$91,022 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
Anthropic
$13,880 वॉल्यूम
61%
$10,692 वॉल्यूम
41%
OpenAI
$6,933 वॉल्यूम
2%
xAI
$7,462 वॉल्यूम
1%
Baidu
$5,736 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Meta
$5,586 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Z.ai
$4,345 वॉल्यूम
<1%
ByteDance
$7,320 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Alibaba
$5,483 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Moonshot
$3,740 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Meituan
$2,528 वॉल्यूम
<1%
DeepSeek
$6,753 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Microsoft
$3,591 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Amazon
$2,361 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Mistral
$4,613 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Recent model releases and benchmark performances have positioned Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.6 series as the clear frontrunner for third-best AI model by end of May, with traders assigning it a 61.5% implied probability. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro follows closely at 39% amid competitive multimodal capabilities, while OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants are viewed as locked into the top two spots. Ongoing leaderboards show Claude excelling in coding, long-context reasoning, and instruction following, giving it an edge over Gemini in key metrics. Upcoming developer updates and potential fine-tuning releases from both companies remain key swing factors before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$91,022समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Recent model releases and benchmark performances have positioned Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.6 series as the clear frontrunner for third-best AI model by end of May, with traders assigning it a 61.5% implied probability. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro follows closely at 39% amid competitive multimodal capabilities, while OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants are viewed as locked into the top two spots. Ongoing leaderboards show Claude excelling in coding, long-context reasoning, and instruction following, giving it an edge over Gemini in key metrics. Upcoming developer updates and potential fine-tuning releases from both companies remain key swing factors before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$91,022समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model releases and benchmark performances have positioned Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.6 series as the clear frontrunner for third-best AI model by end of May, with traders assigning it a 61.5% implied probability. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro follows closely at 39% amid competitive multimodal capabilities, while OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants are viewed as locked into the top two spots. Ongoing leaderboards show Claude excelling in coding, long-context reasoning, and instruction following, giving it an edge over Gemini in key metrics. Upcoming developer updates and potential fine-tuning releases from both companies remain key swing factors before month-end resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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