Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment for the second-biggest 2026 domestic opening weekend at 62.5% implied probability, driven by its December 18 release timing and massive pre-sales momentum following the MCU's multiverse buildup. The recent record $360 million debut of Spider-Man: Brand New Day, which surpassed Avengers: Endgame, has clarified the top spot and shifted focus to Doomsday as the likeliest runner-up, given historical December blockbuster patterns and strong industry tracking. Earlier 2026 releases such as Toy Story 5 and The Super Mario Galaxy Movie posted solid but not record-challenging numbers, while low-probability options like Dune: Messiah reflect limited late-year competition and the franchise's established audience ceiling. Upcoming December tracking and holiday previews represent the next key catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 में किस फिल्म का दूसरा सबसे बड़ा ओपनिंग वीकेंड है?
Avengers: Doomsday 64%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 38%
Toy Story 5 <1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$31,883 वॉल्यूम
$31,883 वॉल्यूम
Avengers: Doomsday
64%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
38%
Toy Story 5
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 64%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 38%
Toy Story 5 <1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$31,883 वॉल्यूम
$31,883 वॉल्यूम
Avengers: Doomsday
64%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
38%
Toy Story 5
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment for the second-biggest 2026 domestic opening weekend at 62.5% implied probability, driven by its December 18 release timing and massive pre-sales momentum following the MCU's multiverse buildup. The recent record $360 million debut of Spider-Man: Brand New Day, which surpassed Avengers: Endgame, has clarified the top spot and shifted focus to Doomsday as the likeliest runner-up, given historical December blockbuster patterns and strong industry tracking. Earlier 2026 releases such as Toy Story 5 and The Super Mario Galaxy Movie posted solid but not record-challenging numbers, while low-probability options like Dune: Messiah reflect limited late-year competition and the franchise's established audience ceiling. Upcoming December tracking and holiday previews represent the next key catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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