Toy Story 5’s franchise-record $160 million domestic opening in June has anchored trader sentiment for the third-largest debut of 2026, reflected in its dominant 88.5% implied probability. Its family-friendly appeal, strong critical reception, and $17.5 million in previews delivered the year’s biggest animated launch to date and outpaced earlier entries like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie’s $132 million bow. With Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million July opening already claiming the top spot, markets see limited risk that later tentpoles—such as The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping or Avengers: Doomsday—will slot precisely into third, given typical late-year patterns and current tracking. Upcoming chart updates and any surprise holiday surges remain the key swing factors.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 में किस फिल्म का तीसरा सबसे बड़ा ओपनिंग वीकेंड है?
2026 में किस फिल्म का तीसरा सबसे बड़ा ओपनिंग वीकेंड है?
Toy Story 5 89%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping 5.1%
Avengers: Doomsday 3.3%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 3.0%
$14,224 वॉल्यूम
$14,224 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
Toy Story 5
89%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
5%
Avengers: Doomsday
3%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
3%
Dune: Messiah
2%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
<1%
Toy Story 5 89%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping 5.1%
Avengers: Doomsday 3.3%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 3.0%
$14,224 वॉल्यूम
$14,224 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
Toy Story 5
$8,663 वॉल्यूम
89%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$521 वॉल्यूम
5%
Avengers: Doomsday
$737 वॉल्यूम
3%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$1,404 वॉल्यूम
3%
Dune: Messiah
$624 वॉल्यूम
2%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
$641 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the third-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the third-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 3rd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Toy Story 5’s franchise-record $160 million domestic opening in June has anchored trader sentiment for the third-largest debut of 2026, reflected in its dominant 88.5% implied probability. Its family-friendly appeal, strong critical reception, and $17.5 million in previews delivered the year’s biggest animated launch to date and outpaced earlier entries like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie’s $132 million bow. With Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million July opening already claiming the top spot, markets see limited risk that later tentpoles—such as The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping or Avengers: Doomsday—will slot precisely into third, given typical late-year patterns and current tracking. Upcoming chart updates and any surprise holiday surges remain the key swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the third-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the third-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 3rd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the third-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 3rd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 23, 2026, 11:38 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$14,224समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 23, 2026, 11:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the third-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the third-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 3rd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Toy Story 5’s franchise-record $160 million domestic opening in June has anchored trader sentiment for the third-largest debut of 2026, reflected in its dominant 88.5% implied probability. Its family-friendly appeal, strong critical reception, and $17.5 million in previews delivered the year’s biggest animated launch to date and outpaced earlier entries like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie’s $132 million bow. With Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million July opening already claiming the top spot, markets see limited risk that later tentpoles—such as The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping or Avengers: Doomsday—will slot precisely into third, given typical late-year patterns and current tracking. Upcoming chart updates and any surprise holiday surges remain the key swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the third-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the third-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 3rd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the third-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 3rd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
वॉल्यूम
$14,224समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 23, 2026, 11:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Toy Story 5’s franchise-record $160 million domestic opening in June has anchored trader sentiment for the third-largest debut of 2026, reflected in its dominant 88.5% implied probability. Its family-friendly appeal, strong critical reception, and $17.5 million in previews delivered the year’s biggest animated launch to date and outpaced earlier entries like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie’s $132 million bow. With Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million July opening already claiming the top spot, markets see limited risk that later tentpoles—such as The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping or Avengers: Doomsday—will slot precisely into third, given typical late-year patterns and current tracking. Upcoming chart updates and any surprise holiday surges remain the key swing factors.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न