Avengers: Doomsday commands the market lead at 72.5% implied probability because its December 18 release positions the MCU crossover as the year’s premier tentpole event, with Robert Downey Jr. returning in a high-profile role and the franchise’s history of massive holiday openings fueling trader consensus. Strong early box office tracking reports from industry insiders, including descriptions of the film “exploding” on long-lead metrics at CinemaCon, have reinforced momentum despite recent Marvel fatigue concerns. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails at 14.5% on the strength of its July 31 slot and Tom Holland’s draw, though it contends with earlier 2026 competition like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie’s current record domestic debut. Lower-probability entries such as Toy Story 5 and Dune: Messiah lag due to mid-year timing and comparatively limited franchise crossover appeal that historically caps opening-weekend ceilings.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 में किस फिल्म का सबसे बड़ा ओपनिंग वीकेंड है?
2026 में किस फिल्म का सबसे बड़ा ओपनिंग वीकेंड है?
एवेंजर्स: डूम्सडे 73%
स्पाइडर-मैन: ब्रांड न्यू डे 15%
टॉय स्टोरी 5 3.1%
ओडिसी 3.0%
$1,571,931 वॉल्यूम
$1,571,931 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
एवेंजर्स: डूम्सडे
73%
स्पाइडर-मैन: ब्रांड न्यू डे
15%
टॉय स्टोरी 5
3%
ओडिसी
3%
ड्यून: मसीहा
2%
स्टार वॉर्स: द मंडलोरियन एंड ग्रोगू
1%
द हंगर गेम्स: सनराइज़ ऑन द रीपिंग
<1%
सुपर मारियो गैलेक्सी फिल्म
<1%
एवेंजर्स: डूम्सडे 73%
स्पाइडर-मैन: ब्रांड न्यू डे 15%
टॉय स्टोरी 5 3.1%
ओडिसी 3.0%
$1,571,931 वॉल्यूम
$1,571,931 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
एवेंजर्स: डूम्सडे
$118,995 वॉल्यूम
73%
स्पाइडर-मैन: ब्रांड न्यू डे
$43,631 वॉल्यूम
15%
टॉय स्टोरी 5
$181,713 वॉल्यूम
3%
ओडिसी
$146,997 वॉल्यूम
3%
ड्यून: मसीहा
$85,190 वॉल्यूम
2%
स्टार वॉर्स: द मंडलोरियन एंड ग्रोगू
$34,991 वॉल्यूम
1%
द हंगर गेम्स: सनराइज़ ऑन द रीपिंग
$59,114 वॉल्यूम
<1%
सुपर मारियो गैलेक्सी फिल्म
$18,306 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday commands the market lead at 72.5% implied probability because its December 18 release positions the MCU crossover as the year’s premier tentpole event, with Robert Downey Jr. returning in a high-profile role and the franchise’s history of massive holiday openings fueling trader consensus. Strong early box office tracking reports from industry insiders, including descriptions of the film “exploding” on long-lead metrics at CinemaCon, have reinforced momentum despite recent Marvel fatigue concerns. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails at 14.5% on the strength of its July 31 slot and Tom Holland’s draw, though it contends with earlier 2026 competition like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie’s current record domestic debut. Lower-probability entries such as Toy Story 5 and Dune: Messiah lag due to mid-year timing and comparatively limited franchise crossover appeal that historically caps opening-weekend ceilings.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,571,931समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday commands the market lead at 72.5% implied probability because its December 18 release positions the MCU crossover as the year’s premier tentpole event, with Robert Downey Jr. returning in a high-profile role and the franchise’s history of massive holiday openings fueling trader consensus. Strong early box office tracking reports from industry insiders, including descriptions of the film “exploding” on long-lead metrics at CinemaCon, have reinforced momentum despite recent Marvel fatigue concerns. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails at 14.5% on the strength of its July 31 slot and Tom Holland’s draw, though it contends with earlier 2026 competition like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie’s current record domestic debut. Lower-probability entries such as Toy Story 5 and Dune: Messiah lag due to mid-year timing and comparatively limited franchise crossover appeal that historically caps opening-weekend ceilings.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
वॉल्यूम
$1,571,931समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Avengers: Doomsday commands the market lead at 72.5% implied probability because its December 18 release positions the MCU crossover as the year’s premier tentpole event, with Robert Downey Jr. returning in a high-profile role and the franchise’s history of massive holiday openings fueling trader consensus. Strong early box office tracking reports from industry insiders, including descriptions of the film “exploding” on long-lead metrics at CinemaCon, have reinforced momentum despite recent Marvel fatigue concerns. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails at 14.5% on the strength of its July 31 slot and Tom Holland’s draw, though it contends with earlier 2026 competition like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie’s current record domestic debut. Lower-probability entries such as Toy Story 5 and Dune: Messiah lag due to mid-year timing and comparatively limited franchise crossover appeal that historically caps opening-weekend ceilings.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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