Recent cabinet turnover, including the April 2026 ousters of Attorney General Pam Bondi and Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer plus Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard's impending June resignation, has heightened trader focus on further exits. Speculation centers on performance pressures affecting figures like Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth amid prior scrutiny, National Security Adviser Mike Waltz, and White House Chief of Staff Susie Wiles, with reports of internal frustrations and potential realignments. These dynamics sustain tight odds among the leaders while the 15.8% probability on no departures before 2027 captures uncertainty over timing and scope of any additional moves in the current administration.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाJohn Ratcliffe 36.4%
Lee Zeldin 36%
Mike Waltz 34.5%
Howard Lutnick 28%
नया
नया
31 दिस, 2026
John Ratcliffe
36%
Lee Zeldin
36%
Mike Waltz
35%
Howard Lutnick
28%
Linda McMahon
19%
Russell T. Vought
18%
Jamieson Greer
18%
None before 2027
16%
Sean Duffy
19%
Scott Bessent
26%
Kelly Loeffler
6%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
5%
Marco Rubio
5%
Doug Collins
5%
J.D. Vance
5%
Brooke Rollins
15%
Chris Wright
4%
Scott Turner
1%
Pete Hegseth
-
Doug Burgum
-
Susie Wiles
42%
John Ratcliffe 36.4%
Lee Zeldin 36%
Mike Waltz 34.5%
Howard Lutnick 28%
नया
नया
31 दिस, 2026
John Ratcliffe
$115 वॉल्यूम
36%
Lee Zeldin
$132 वॉल्यूम
36%
Mike Waltz
$126 वॉल्यूम
35%
Howard Lutnick
$250 वॉल्यूम
28%
Linda McMahon
$209 वॉल्यूम
19%
Russell T. Vought
$150 वॉल्यूम
18%
Jamieson Greer
$80 वॉल्यूम
18%
None before 2027
$226 वॉल्यूम
16%
Sean Duffy
$162 वॉल्यूम
19%
Scott Bessent
$469 वॉल्यूम
26%
Kelly Loeffler
$308 वॉल्यूम
6%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$101 वॉल्यूम
5%
Marco Rubio
$75 वॉल्यूम
5%
Doug Collins
$76 वॉल्यूम
5%
J.D. Vance
$171 वॉल्यूम
5%
Brooke Rollins
$230 वॉल्यूम
15%
Chris Wright
$132 वॉल्यूम
4%
Scott Turner
$80 वॉल्यूम
1%
Pete Hegseth
$118 वॉल्यूम
-
Doug Burgum
$171 वॉल्यूम
-
Susie Wiles
$227 वॉल्यूम
42%
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Recent cabinet turnover, including the April 2026 ousters of Attorney General Pam Bondi and Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer plus Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard's impending June resignation, has heightened trader focus on further exits. Speculation centers on performance pressures affecting figures like Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth amid prior scrutiny, National Security Adviser Mike Waltz, and White House Chief of Staff Susie Wiles, with reports of internal frustrations and potential realignments. These dynamics sustain tight odds among the leaders while the 15.8% probability on no departures before 2027 captures uncertainty over timing and scope of any additional moves in the current administration.
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: May 22, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,607समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 22, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Recent cabinet turnover, including the April 2026 ousters of Attorney General Pam Bondi and Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer plus Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard's impending June resignation, has heightened trader focus on further exits. Speculation centers on performance pressures affecting figures like Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth amid prior scrutiny, National Security Adviser Mike Waltz, and White House Chief of Staff Susie Wiles, with reports of internal frustrations and potential realignments. These dynamics sustain tight odds among the leaders while the 15.8% probability on no departures before 2027 captures uncertainty over timing and scope of any additional moves in the current administration.
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$3,607समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 22, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cabinet turnover, including the April 2026 ousters of Attorney General Pam Bondi and Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer plus Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard's impending June resignation, has heightened trader focus on further exits. Speculation centers on performance pressures affecting figures like Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth amid prior scrutiny, National Security Adviser Mike Waltz, and White House Chief of Staff Susie Wiles, with reports of internal frustrations and potential realignments. These dynamics sustain tight odds among the leaders while the 15.8% probability on no departures before 2027 captures uncertainty over timing and scope of any additional moves in the current administration.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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