Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil holds a clear advantage in Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, consistent with the 71% Republican consensus on the market. Major forecasters rate the seat Likely or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s R+4 lean, Steil’s prior victories by double-digit margins, and strong fundraising. Mitchell Berman secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary and faces Steil in the general, but recent polling shows a tight race with Steil narrowly ahead or even. The district’s manufacturing and union communities have kept it on Democratic target lists, yet the Republican baseline and Steil’s incumbency continue to anchor trader probabilities ahead of the fall campaign.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWI-01 House Election Winner
WI-01 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
71%
Democratic Party
31%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$5,290 वॉल्यूम
71%
Democratic Party
$4,669 वॉल्यूम
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil holds a clear advantage in Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, consistent with the 71% Republican consensus on the market. Major forecasters rate the seat Likely or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s R+4 lean, Steil’s prior victories by double-digit margins, and strong fundraising. Mitchell Berman secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary and faces Steil in the general, but recent polling shows a tight race with Steil narrowly ahead or even. The district’s manufacturing and union communities have kept it on Democratic target lists, yet the Republican baseline and Steil’s incumbency continue to anchor trader probabilities ahead of the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$9,959समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil holds a clear advantage in Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, consistent with the 71% Republican consensus on the market. Major forecasters rate the seat Likely or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s R+4 lean, Steil’s prior victories by double-digit margins, and strong fundraising. Mitchell Berman secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary and faces Steil in the general, but recent polling shows a tight race with Steil narrowly ahead or even. The district’s manufacturing and union communities have kept it on Democratic target lists, yet the Republican baseline and Steil’s incumbency continue to anchor trader probabilities ahead of the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$9,959समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil holds a clear advantage in Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, consistent with the 71% Republican consensus on the market. Major forecasters rate the seat Likely or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s R+4 lean, Steil’s prior victories by double-digit margins, and strong fundraising. Mitchell Berman secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary and faces Steil in the general, but recent polling shows a tight race with Steil narrowly ahead or even. The district’s manufacturing and union communities have kept it on Democratic target lists, yet the Republican baseline and Steil’s incumbency continue to anchor trader probabilities ahead of the fall campaign.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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