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icon for क्या OpenAI... तक एक उपभोक्ता हार्डवेयर उत्पाद लॉन्च करेगा?

क्या OpenAI... तक एक उपभोक्ता हार्डवेयर उत्पाद लॉन्च करेगा?

icon for क्या OpenAI... तक एक उपभोक्ता हार्डवेयर उत्पाद लॉन्च करेगा?

क्या OpenAI... तक एक उपभोक्ता हार्डवेयर उत्पाद लॉन्च करेगा?

$253,813 वॉल्यूम

31 दिस, 2026
Polymarket

$253,813 वॉल्यूम

Polymarket

31 दिसंबर, 2026

$27,825 वॉल्यूम

18%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device. Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device. Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device. Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.OpenAI's consumer hardware ambitions, spearheaded by CEO Sam Altman and Jony Ive's LoveFrom team following their 2025 merger, face confirmed delays that shape trader skepticism, with a February 2026 court filing stating the first device won't ship before late February 2027 amid a trademark dispute. Earlier optimism from chief global affairs officer Chris Lehane's January claim of an on-track H2 2026 unveiling has faded, while recent supply chain analyst Ming-Chi Kuo's May reports suggest a ChatGPT-optimized smartphone with custom MediaTek chips could enter mass production in early 2027. Competitive flops like the Humane AI Pin and Rabbit r1 highlight execution risks in screenless or agent-driven AI devices; watch for prototype demos or spec finalization by year-end 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device.

Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify.

The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
वॉल्यूम
$253,813
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2025
बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 4:33 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device. Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device. Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device. Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device. Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.OpenAI's consumer hardware ambitions, spearheaded by CEO Sam Altman and Jony Ive's LoveFrom team following their 2025 merger, face confirmed delays that shape trader skepticism, with a February 2026 court filing stating the first device won't ship before late February 2027 amid a trademark dispute. Earlier optimism from chief global affairs officer Chris Lehane's January claim of an on-track H2 2026 unveiling has faded, while recent supply chain analyst Ming-Chi Kuo's May reports suggest a ChatGPT-optimized smartphone with custom MediaTek chips could enter mass production in early 2027. Competitive flops like the Humane AI Pin and Rabbit r1 highlight execution risks in screenless or agent-driven AI devices; watch for prototype demos or spec finalization by year-end 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device.

Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify.

The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
वॉल्यूम
$253,813
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2025
बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 4:33 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device. Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"क्या OpenAI... तक एक उपभोक्ता हार्डवेयर उत्पाद लॉन्च करेगा?" Polymarket पर 3 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, 31 दिसंबर, 2026 18% (18¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद 31 दिसंबर, 2025 0% पर है।

आज तक, "क्या OpenAI... तक एक उपभोक्ता हार्डवेयर उत्पाद लॉन्च करेगा?" ने कुल $253.8K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार May 22, 2025 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"क्या OpenAI... तक एक उपभोक्ता हार्डवेयर उत्पाद लॉन्च करेगा?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 3 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"क्या OpenAI... तक एक उपभोक्ता हार्डवेयर उत्पाद लॉन्च करेगा?" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "31 दिसंबर, 2026" 18% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "31 दिसंबर, 2025" 0% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"क्या OpenAI... तक एक उपभोक्ता हार्डवेयर उत्पाद लॉन्च करेगा?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।