Ukrainian forces have maintained control of Ternuvate in Zaporizhzhia Oblast since clearing a brief Russian incursion in early February 2026, with ISW maps showing no persistent Russian advances or control in the settlement despite ongoing positional fighting nearby. Small-scale Russian infiltrations toward Kosivtseve and Hulyaipole have been repelled, contributing to Russia's net territorial losses across the theater in April amid frontline attrition. A three-day ceasefire mediated by U.S. President Trump from May 9-11 paused major operations but ended without reported changes in the area, leaving trader consensus skeptical of imminent re-entry by late May due to entrenched Ukrainian defenses and stalled Russian momentum in western Zaporizhia. Potential post-ceasefire escalations or a broader summer offensive could shift dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या रूस... तक फिर से टर्नूवेट में प्रवेश करेगा?
क्या रूस... तक फिर से टर्नूवेट में प्रवेश करेगा?
$369,989 वॉल्यूम
31 मई
18%
$369,989 वॉल्यूम
31 मई
18%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian forces have maintained control of Ternuvate in Zaporizhzhia Oblast since clearing a brief Russian incursion in early February 2026, with ISW maps showing no persistent Russian advances or control in the settlement despite ongoing positional fighting nearby. Small-scale Russian infiltrations toward Kosivtseve and Hulyaipole have been repelled, contributing to Russia's net territorial losses across the theater in April amid frontline attrition. A three-day ceasefire mediated by U.S. President Trump from May 9-11 paused major operations but ended without reported changes in the area, leaving trader consensus skeptical of imminent re-entry by late May due to entrenched Ukrainian defenses and stalled Russian momentum in western Zaporizhia. Potential post-ceasefire escalations or a broader summer offensive could shift dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न