Ukrainian forces have conducted localized counteroffensives in Zaporizhzhia Oblast throughout 2026, recapturing multiple settlements and hundreds of square kilometers amid Russian logistical strains and drone strikes on supply routes. Russian troops seized Obratne and Temyrivka northeast of Huliaipole during late 2025 advances, consolidating positions along key axes in the sector. Recent Ukrainian momentum, including the Third Army Corps' Operation Vivaldi push north of Lyman in Donetsk Oblast that reclaimed over 200 square kilometers by mid-September 2026, reflects broader efforts to disrupt Russian salients and restore defensive depth. Any re-entry into the specified villages would hinge on sustained mechanized advances, Russian force reallocations from other fronts, and the pace of attrition before resolution deadlines. Traders assess these outcomes against historical patterns of incremental territorial shifts in the region.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या यूक्रेन... तक Obratne या Temyrivka में फिर से प्रवेश करेगा?
$68,897 वॉल्यूम
30 सितंबर
6%
31 दिसंबर
37%
$68,897 वॉल्यूम
30 सितंबर
6%
31 दिसंबर
37%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 13, 2026, 9:58 AM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian forces have conducted localized counteroffensives in Zaporizhzhia Oblast throughout 2026, recapturing multiple settlements and hundreds of square kilometers amid Russian logistical strains and drone strikes on supply routes. Russian troops seized Obratne and Temyrivka northeast of Huliaipole during late 2025 advances, consolidating positions along key axes in the sector. Recent Ukrainian momentum, including the Third Army Corps' Operation Vivaldi push north of Lyman in Donetsk Oblast that reclaimed over 200 square kilometers by mid-September 2026, reflects broader efforts to disrupt Russian salients and restore defensive depth. Any re-entry into the specified villages would hinge on sustained mechanized advances, Russian force reallocations from other fronts, and the pace of attrition before resolution deadlines. Traders assess these outcomes against historical patterns of incremental territorial shifts in the region.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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