Russian forces continue incremental offensive operations in Donetsk Oblast aimed at completing control of the region, but Ukrainian counteractions including Operation Vivaldi have slowed progress around key axes near Lyman and the Fortress Belt. Vodianske, located near Dobropillia, saw significant destruction earlier in 2026 with Russian forces reaching parts of the settlement, yet ISW assessments indicate limited consolidated gains across the front this year compared to Russian claims. Trader pricing for capture of the specific intersection by late 2026 reflects ongoing attrition, Ukrainian defensive reinforcements, and challenges in achieving rapid territorial consolidation amid drone strikes and counterattacks. No major diplomatic or escalation events have altered the immediate frontline dynamics in recent weeks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या रूस Vodianske को... तक पकड़ लेगा?
क्या रूस Vodianske को... तक पकड़ लेगा?
$132,591 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
September 30
4%
December 31
23%
$132,591 वॉल्यूम
September 30
$53,848 वॉल्यूम
4%
December 31
$78,743 वॉल्यूम
23%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.410003° N, 37.102845° E in Vodianske, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vodianske1.png
Intersection Location in Vodianske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vodianske2.png
Vodianske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vodianske3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/UfqGdzp9QdZ8LtAh8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces continue incremental offensive operations in Donetsk Oblast aimed at completing control of the region, but Ukrainian counteractions including Operation Vivaldi have slowed progress around key axes near Lyman and the Fortress Belt. Vodianske, located near Dobropillia, saw significant destruction earlier in 2026 with Russian forces reaching parts of the settlement, yet ISW assessments indicate limited consolidated gains across the front this year compared to Russian claims. Trader pricing for capture of the specific intersection by late 2026 reflects ongoing attrition, Ukrainian defensive reinforcements, and challenges in achieving rapid territorial consolidation amid drone strikes and counterattacks. No major diplomatic or escalation events have altered the immediate frontline dynamics in recent weeks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.410003° N, 37.102845° E in Vodianske, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vodianske1.png
Intersection Location in Vodianske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vodianske2.png
Vodianske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vodianske3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/UfqGdzp9QdZ8LtAh8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vodianske1.png
Intersection Location in Vodianske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vodianske2.png
Vodianske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vodianske3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/UfqGdzp9QdZ8LtAh8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 24, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$132,591समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jul 24, 2026, 3:03 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.410003° N, 37.102845° E in Vodianske, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vodianske1.png
Intersection Location in Vodianske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vodianske2.png
Vodianske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vodianske3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/UfqGdzp9QdZ8LtAh8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces continue incremental offensive operations in Donetsk Oblast aimed at completing control of the region, but Ukrainian counteractions including Operation Vivaldi have slowed progress around key axes near Lyman and the Fortress Belt. Vodianske, located near Dobropillia, saw significant destruction earlier in 2026 with Russian forces reaching parts of the settlement, yet ISW assessments indicate limited consolidated gains across the front this year compared to Russian claims. Trader pricing for capture of the specific intersection by late 2026 reflects ongoing attrition, Ukrainian defensive reinforcements, and challenges in achieving rapid territorial consolidation amid drone strikes and counterattacks. No major diplomatic or escalation events have altered the immediate frontline dynamics in recent weeks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.410003° N, 37.102845° E in Vodianske, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vodianske1.png
Intersection Location in Vodianske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vodianske2.png
Vodianske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vodianske3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/UfqGdzp9QdZ8LtAh8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vodianske1.png
Intersection Location in Vodianske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vodianske2.png
Vodianske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vodianske3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/UfqGdzp9QdZ8LtAh8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$132,591समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jul 24, 2026, 3:03 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Russian forces continue incremental offensive operations in Donetsk Oblast aimed at completing control of the region, but Ukrainian counteractions including Operation Vivaldi have slowed progress around key axes near Lyman and the Fortress Belt. Vodianske, located near Dobropillia, saw significant destruction earlier in 2026 with Russian forces reaching parts of the settlement, yet ISW assessments indicate limited consolidated gains across the front this year compared to Russian claims. Trader pricing for capture of the specific intersection by late 2026 reflects ongoing attrition, Ukrainian defensive reinforcements, and challenges in achieving rapid territorial consolidation amid drone strikes and counterattacks. No major diplomatic or escalation events have altered the immediate frontline dynamics in recent weeks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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