**David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary by defeating Francesca Hong by a margin that landed squarely in the 0.4–0.6% range, producing the market’s dominant pricing.** Crowley, the Milwaukee County executive backed by outgoing Gov. Tony Evers, overcame pre-election polling that showed Hong ahead by double digits. He re-entered the race in mid-July after a brief suspension, benefited from stronger fundraising in the final stretch, and consolidated support among moderate and establishment voters. Hong, a democratic socialist state representative, drew strong progressive backing but could not overcome the late shift. Other candidates (Kelda Roys, Joel Brennan) split roughly 12% of the vote, further tightening the Crowley-Hong contest to roughly 4,000 votes out of more than 620,000 cast. Hong conceded once the gap exceeded the automatic-recount threshold, removing any realistic pathway for reversal. The 98.6% probability on the 0.4–0.6% bracket therefore reflects confirmed vote totals rather than ongoing uncertainty. Only an unforeseen official recount or certification dispute could still alter the recorded margin.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCrowley 0.4–0.6% 98.6%
Crowley 0.2–0.4% 1.5%
Crowley 0.6–0.8% <1%
Crowley <0.2% <1%
$213,125 वॉल्यूम
$213,125 वॉल्यूम
12 अग, 2026
Hong 1%+
<1%
Hong 0.8–1%
<1%
Hong 0.6–0.8%
<1%
Hong 0.4–0.6%
<1%
Hong 0.2–0.4%
<1%
Hong <0.2%
<1%
Crowley <0.2%
<1%
Crowley 0.2–0.4%
2%
Crowley 0.4–0.6%
99%
Crowley 0.6–0.8%
1%
Crowley 0.8–1%
<1%
Crowley 1–1.2%
<1%
Crowley 1.2–1.4%
<1%
Crowley 1.4–1.6%
<1%
Crowley 1.6–1.8%
<1%
Crowley 1.8–2%
<1%
Crowley 2%+
<1%
Crowley 0.4–0.6% 98.6%
Crowley 0.2–0.4% 1.5%
Crowley 0.6–0.8% <1%
Crowley <0.2% <1%
$213,125 वॉल्यूम
$213,125 वॉल्यूम
12 अग, 2026
Hong 1%+
$319 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Hong 0.8–1%
$232 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Hong 0.6–0.8%
$694 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Hong 0.4–0.6%
$716 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Hong 0.2–0.4%
$749 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Hong <0.2%
$576 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Crowley <0.2%
$37,514 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Crowley 0.2–0.4%
$41,432 वॉल्यूम
2%
Crowley 0.4–0.6%
$38,963 वॉल्यूम
99%
Crowley 0.6–0.8%
$29,982 वॉल्यूम
1%
Crowley 0.8–1%
$26,575 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Crowley 1–1.2%
$30,077 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Crowley 1.2–1.4%
$1,194 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Crowley 1.4–1.6%
$1,140 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Crowley 1.6–1.8%
$1,181 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Crowley 1.8–2%
$1,261 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Crowley 2%+
$521 वॉल्यूम
<1%
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.**David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary by defeating Francesca Hong by a margin that landed squarely in the 0.4–0.6% range, producing the market’s dominant pricing.**
Crowley, the Milwaukee County executive backed by outgoing Gov. Tony Evers, overcame pre-election polling that showed Hong ahead by double digits. He re-entered the race in mid-July after a brief suspension, benefited from stronger fundraising in the final stretch, and consolidated support among moderate and establishment voters. Hong, a democratic socialist state representative, drew strong progressive backing but could not overcome the late shift. Other candidates (Kelda Roys, Joel Brennan) split roughly 12% of the vote, further tightening the Crowley-Hong contest to roughly 4,000 votes out of more than 620,000 cast.
Hong conceded once the gap exceeded the automatic-recount threshold, removing any realistic pathway for reversal. The 98.6% probability on the 0.4–0.6% bracket therefore reflects confirmed vote totals rather than ongoing uncertainty. Only an unforeseen official recount or certification dispute could still alter the recorded margin.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$213,125समाप्ति तिथि
12 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.**David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary by defeating Francesca Hong by a margin that landed squarely in the 0.4–0.6% range, producing the market’s dominant pricing.**
Crowley, the Milwaukee County executive backed by outgoing Gov. Tony Evers, overcame pre-election polling that showed Hong ahead by double digits. He re-entered the race in mid-July after a brief suspension, benefited from stronger fundraising in the final stretch, and consolidated support among moderate and establishment voters. Hong, a democratic socialist state representative, drew strong progressive backing but could not overcome the late shift. Other candidates (Kelda Roys, Joel Brennan) split roughly 12% of the vote, further tightening the Crowley-Hong contest to roughly 4,000 votes out of more than 620,000 cast.
Hong conceded once the gap exceeded the automatic-recount threshold, removing any realistic pathway for reversal. The 98.6% probability on the 0.4–0.6% bracket therefore reflects confirmed vote totals rather than ongoing uncertainty. Only an unforeseen official recount or certification dispute could still alter the recorded margin.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
वॉल्यूम
$213,125समाप्ति तिथि
12 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary by defeating Francesca Hong by a margin that landed squarely in the 0.4–0.6% range, producing the market’s dominant pricing.** Crowley, the Milwaukee County executive backed by outgoing Gov. Tony Evers, overcame pre-election polling that showed Hong ahead by double digits. He re-entered the race in mid-July after a brief suspension, benefited from stronger fundraising in the final stretch, and consolidated support among moderate and establishment voters. Hong, a democratic socialist state representative, drew strong progressive backing but could not overcome the late shift. Other candidates (Kelda Roys, Joel Brennan) split roughly 12% of the vote, further tightening the Crowley-Hong contest to roughly 4,000 votes out of more than 620,000 cast. Hong conceded once the gap exceeded the automatic-recount threshold, removing any realistic pathway for reversal. The 98.6% probability on the 0.4–0.6% bracket therefore reflects confirmed vote totals rather than ongoing uncertainty. Only an unforeseen official recount or certification dispute could still alter the recorded margin.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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