Ongoing martial law, extended by Ukrainian parliament through early August 2026, continues to bar presidential elections under the constitution, reinforcing trader consensus at 94.5 percent that Volodymyr Zelenskyy will remain in office through June 30. Recent submissions of draft laws prolonging wartime measures and mobilization underscore the absence of any immediate electoral or removal pathway. Zelenskyy has reiterated that voting requires a secure ceasefire and partner-backed guarantees, conditions unmet amid active conflict. While his public statements indicate openness to stepping down once the war concludes, no legislative changes, impeachment proceedings, or diplomatic breakthroughs have materialized in the past month to alter this trajectory. Late developments such as an abrupt ceasefire or constitutional ruling could still shift the outcome, though none appear imminent.