Traders assign roughly even odds near 50% across several unnamed contenders for the #2 free US App Store spot on September 18 because daily download velocity remains fluid among AI productivity apps and marketplaces. Muse from Meta has climbed rapidly following its launch, posting strong initial US downloads that place it near the top in recent charts, while Vinted and TikTok Pro - Events maintain consistent momentum through user engagement. ChatGPT holds a firm #1 position, leaving the second slot open, with Google Gemini and Google Maps trailing at lower implied probabilities due to steadier but less explosive growth. Short-term catalysts such as feature updates or marketing pushes could shift rankings before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiChatGPT 23%
Vinted 23%
TikTok Pro - Events 23%
Muse 23%

ChatGPT
23%
Vinted
23%

TikTok Pro - Events
23%

Muse
23%

Google Gemini
21%

Google Maps
4%
ChatGPT 23%
Vinted 23%
TikTok Pro - Events 23%
Muse 23%

ChatGPT
23%
Vinted
23%

TikTok Pro - Events
23%

Muse
23%

Google Gemini
21%

Google Maps
4%
If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign roughly even odds near 50% across several unnamed contenders for the #2 free US App Store spot on September 18 because daily download velocity remains fluid among AI productivity apps and marketplaces. Muse from Meta has climbed rapidly following its launch, posting strong initial US downloads that place it near the top in recent charts, while Vinted and TikTok Pro - Events maintain consistent momentum through user engagement. ChatGPT holds a firm #1 position, leaving the second slot open, with Google Gemini and Google Maps trailing at lower implied probabilities due to steadier but less explosive growth. Short-term catalysts such as feature updates or marketing pushes could shift rankings before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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