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Politik·Jangka Menengah

Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur Alaska

icon for Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur Alaska
Politik·Jangka Menengah

Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur Alaska

Tom Begich 39%

Bernadette Wilson 25%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 11.3%

Treg Taylor 10.2%

Polymarket

$972,541 Vol.

Tom Begich 39%

Bernadette Wilson 25%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 11.3%

Treg Taylor 10.2%

Polymarket

$972,541 Vol.

icon for Tom Begich

Tom Begich

$115,001 Vol.

39%

icon for Bernadette Wilson

Bernadette Wilson

$151,088 Vol.

25%

icon for Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$7,305 Vol.

11%

icon for Treg Taylor

Treg Taylor

$19,709 Vol.

10%

icon for Click Bishop

Click Bishop

$9,212 Vol.

6%

icon for Nancy Dahlstrom

Nancy Dahlstrom

$117,091 Vol.

6%

icon for David Bronson

David Bronson

$10,684 Vol.

6%

icon for Matt Heilala

Matt Heilala

$29,625 Vol.

1%

icon for Adam Crum

Adam Crum

$39,155 Vol.

1%

icon for Mary Peltola

Mary Peltola

$324,702 Vol.

<1%

icon for Matt Claman

Matt Claman

$5,573 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Parkin

James Parkin

$104,135 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edna DeVries

Edna DeVries

$8,271 Vol.

<1%

icon for Shelley Hughes

Shelley Hughes

$9,044 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lisa Murkowski

Lisa Murkowski

$13,874 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hank Kroll

Hank Kroll

$3,314 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bruce Walden

Bruce Walden

$4,756 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.The crowded 2026 Alaska gubernatorial field, shaped by term limits on incumbent Mike Dunleavy, features a nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 that advances candidates to a November general election under ranked-choice voting. Tom Begich leads trader consensus after early polling shows him ahead in a state with a divided Republican electorate and a single prominent Democratic contender, bolstered by his prior state Senate experience and family political ties. Bernadette Wilson holds the next position among Republicans due to her recent running-mate announcement and pledge to exit if she fails to lead GOP primary vote-getters. The remaining field, including Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, Treg Taylor, Click Bishop, and Nancy Dahlstrom, reflects a fragmented Republican primary where no single candidate has consolidated support ahead of the filing deadline. Upcoming primary dynamics and any shifts in polling averages could further influence advancement probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$972,541
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.The crowded 2026 Alaska gubernatorial field, shaped by term limits on incumbent Mike Dunleavy, features a nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18 that advances candidates to a November general election under ranked-choice voting. Tom Begich leads trader consensus after early polling shows him ahead in a state with a divided Republican electorate and a single prominent Democratic contender, bolstered by his prior state Senate experience and family political ties. Bernadette Wilson holds the next position among Republicans due to her recent running-mate announcement and pledge to exit if she fails to lead GOP primary vote-getters. The remaining field, including Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, Treg Taylor, Click Bishop, and Nancy Dahlstrom, reflects a fragmented Republican primary where no single candidate has consolidated support ahead of the filing deadline. Upcoming primary dynamics and any shifts in polling averages could further influence advancement probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$972,541
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur Alaska " adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 17 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Tom Begich" di 39%, diikuti oleh "Bernadette Wilson" di 25%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 39¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 39% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur Alaska " telah menghasilkan $972.5K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Oct 13, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur Alaska ," jelajahi 17 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur Alaska " adalah "Tom Begich" di 39%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 39% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Bernadette Wilson" di 25%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pemenang Pemilihan Gubernur Alaska " mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.