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icon for Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?
Politik·Inggris

Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?

icon for Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?
Politik·Inggris

Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?

58% peluang
Polymarket
BARU

$13,650 Vol.

58% peluang
Polymarket
BARU

$13,650 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham officially assumes the position of Member of Parliament for any seat in the United Kingdom House of Commons by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham and the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Recent developments have positioned Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham for a swift return to the House of Commons through a by-election in the Makerfield constituency. Labour MP Josh Simons announced his resignation specifically to enable Burnham’s candidacy, and the party’s National Executive Committee granted formal clearance for him to enter the selection process. With the by-election scheduled for 18 June, Burnham would take his seat well before the 30 June deadline if he wins. Traders appear to price in a high likelihood of selection and victory in the traditionally safe Labour seat, while discounting risks from local Reform gains and any last-minute procedural delays. The 57% implied probability on Yes reflects these near-term milestones against residual uncertainty over the outcome of the contest itself.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham officially assumes the position of Member of Parliament for any seat in the United Kingdom House of Commons by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham and the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$13,650
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham officially assumes the position of Member of Parliament for any seat in the United Kingdom House of Commons by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham and the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham officially assumes the position of Member of Parliament for any seat in the United Kingdom House of Commons by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham and the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Recent developments have positioned Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham for a swift return to the House of Commons through a by-election in the Makerfield constituency. Labour MP Josh Simons announced his resignation specifically to enable Burnham’s candidacy, and the party’s National Executive Committee granted formal clearance for him to enter the selection process. With the by-election scheduled for 18 June, Burnham would take his seat well before the 30 June deadline if he wins. Traders appear to price in a high likelihood of selection and victory in the traditionally safe Labour seat, while discounting risks from local Reform gains and any last-minute procedural delays. The 57% implied probability on Yes reflects these near-term milestones against residual uncertainty over the outcome of the contest itself.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham officially assumes the position of Member of Parliament for any seat in the United Kingdom House of Commons by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham and the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$13,650
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham officially assumes the position of Member of Parliament for any seat in the United Kingdom House of Commons by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham and the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 58% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 58¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 58% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?" telah menghasilkan $13.7K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada May 14, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?" adalah 58% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 58% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.