Skip to main content
icon for No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?
Politik·UK

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

icon for No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?
Politik·UK

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

12% peluang
Polymarket

$18,020 Vol.

12% peluang
Polymarket

$18,020 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against the sitting government is voted upon in the House of Commons of the United Kingdom by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on whether a motion of no confidence is voted upon in the specified timeframe. Whether the motion is passed will not affect this market’s resolution. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom and a consensus of credible reporting. Labour's commanding parliamentary majority makes it improbable that opposition parties can force a no-confidence vote onto the Commons schedule by June 30, even amid recent internal pressure. Health Secretary Wes Streeting's resignation and nearly 100 Labour MPs urging Starmer to set a departure timetable have intensified leadership speculation, yet party rules require coordinated backing for an alternative candidate rather than an immediate parliamentary test. The SNP has pledged to table a motion via King's Speech amendment, but Labour controls the agenda and has rallied backbench support to stabilize the position in the short term. These dynamics underpin traders' strong consensus that no formal vote will occur before the deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against the sitting government is voted upon in the House of Commons of the United Kingdom by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on whether a motion of no confidence is voted upon in the specified timeframe. Whether the motion is passed will not affect this market’s resolution.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$18,020
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 21, 2026, 2:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against the sitting government is voted upon in the House of Commons of the United Kingdom by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on whether a motion of no confidence is voted upon in the specified timeframe. Whether the motion is passed will not affect this market’s resolution. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against the sitting government is voted upon in the House of Commons of the United Kingdom by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on whether a motion of no confidence is voted upon in the specified timeframe. Whether the motion is passed will not affect this market’s resolution. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom and a consensus of credible reporting. Labour's commanding parliamentary majority makes it improbable that opposition parties can force a no-confidence vote onto the Commons schedule by June 30, even amid recent internal pressure. Health Secretary Wes Streeting's resignation and nearly 100 Labour MPs urging Starmer to set a departure timetable have intensified leadership speculation, yet party rules require coordinated backing for an alternative candidate rather than an immediate parliamentary test. The SNP has pledged to table a motion via King's Speech amendment, but Labour controls the agenda and has rallied backbench support to stabilize the position in the short term. These dynamics underpin traders' strong consensus that no formal vote will occur before the deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against the sitting government is voted upon in the House of Commons of the United Kingdom by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on whether a motion of no confidence is voted upon in the specified timeframe. Whether the motion is passed will not affect this market’s resolution.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$18,020
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 21, 2026, 2:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against the sitting government is voted upon in the House of Commons of the United Kingdom by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on whether a motion of no confidence is voted upon in the specified timeframe. Whether the motion is passed will not affect this market’s resolution. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom and a consensus of credible reporting.

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 12% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 12¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 12% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?" telah menghasilkan $18K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Apr 21, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?" adalah 12% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 12% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.