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icon for Vučić officially leaves office by…?

Vučić officially leaves office by…?

icon for Vučić officially leaves office by…?

Vučić officially leaves office by…?

BARU
Jul 17, 2026
Polymarket

$1 Vol.

Polymarket

July 17

$1 Vol.

46%

July 31

$0 Vol.

48%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be the President of Serbia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, Aleksandar Vučić must formally cease to hold the position of President in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including in the form of resignation) of a future departure will not qualify. Any official departure by Aleksandar Vučić will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Aleksandar Vučić’s duties as President will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be President. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Serbian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 27, 2026 announcement that he will resign within weeks has become the dominant driver of trader positioning on the timing of his official departure.** His second and final term was scheduled to end in mid-2027, but sustained student-led anti-government protests over the prior 18 months, triggered by issues including a deadly infrastructure collapse, appear to have accelerated the decision. Vučić stated he would step aside shortly and campaign for the ruling Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) in simultaneous early presidential and parliamentary elections, originally due in 2027 and now expected within three to four months. Analysts note he has left open a possible return as prime minister if the SNS prevails. Market odds reflect the high likelihood of an exit well before the original mandate date, tempered by uncertainty over the precise resignation timeline, constitutional formalities, and any last-minute political shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be the President of Serbia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, Aleksandar Vučić must formally cease to hold the position of President in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including in the form of resignation) of a future departure will not qualify.

Any official departure by Aleksandar Vučić will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date.

Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Aleksandar Vučić’s duties as President will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be President. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Serbian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be the President of Serbia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, Aleksandar Vučić must formally cease to hold the position of President in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including in the form of resignation) of a future departure will not qualify. Any official departure by Aleksandar Vučić will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Aleksandar Vučić’s duties as President will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be President. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Serbian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be the President of Serbia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, Aleksandar Vučić must formally cease to hold the position of President in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including in the form of resignation) of a future departure will not qualify. Any official departure by Aleksandar Vučić will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Aleksandar Vučić’s duties as President will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be President. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Serbian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 27, 2026 announcement that he will resign within weeks has become the dominant driver of trader positioning on the timing of his official departure.** His second and final term was scheduled to end in mid-2027, but sustained student-led anti-government protests over the prior 18 months, triggered by issues including a deadly infrastructure collapse, appear to have accelerated the decision. Vučić stated he would step aside shortly and campaign for the ruling Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) in simultaneous early presidential and parliamentary elections, originally due in 2027 and now expected within three to four months. Analysts note he has left open a possible return as prime minister if the SNS prevails. Market odds reflect the high likelihood of an exit well before the original mandate date, tempered by uncertainty over the precise resignation timeline, constitutional formalities, and any last-minute political shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be the President of Serbia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, Aleksandar Vučić must formally cease to hold the position of President in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including in the form of resignation) of a future departure will not qualify.

Any official departure by Aleksandar Vučić will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date.

Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Aleksandar Vučić’s duties as President will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be President. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Serbian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be the President of Serbia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, Aleksandar Vučić must formally cease to hold the position of President in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including in the form of resignation) of a future departure will not qualify. Any official departure by Aleksandar Vučić will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Aleksandar Vučić’s duties as President will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Aleksandar Vučić formally ceases to be President. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Serbian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Vučić officially leaves office by…?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 2 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "July 31" di 48%, diikuti oleh "July 17" di 46%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 48¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 48% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Vučić officially leaves office by…?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jun 29, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Vučić officially leaves office by…?," jelajahi 2 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Vučić officially leaves office by…?" adalah "July 31" di 48%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 48% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "July 17" di 46%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Vučić officially leaves office by…?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.