Elon Musk's X activity in early July typically clusters in the low-to-mid 200s per week amid routine engagement, with the tight spread across 180-259 ranges reflecting trader consensus on his baseline volume of roughly 25-35 posts daily. Variability stems from unpredictable catalysts like Tesla earnings updates, SpaceX launches, or political commentary, which can spike replies and threads, while the July 4 holiday weekend may dampen momentum. Historical patterns show his output fluctuating with news intensity rather than fixed schedules, keeping higher bands like 300+ at lower implied probabilities due to the absence of confirmed major events. Traders weigh these dynamics against recent weekly totals near 200-220, noting that breaking news or sustained viral moments could shift resolution toward the upper end of the frontrunning clusters.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui380-399 43%
200-219 27%
220-239 24%
300-319 22%
$17,797 Vol.
$17,797 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
3%
80-99
5%
100-119
6%
120-139
21%
140-159
10%
160-179
13%
180-199
20%
200-219
27%
220-239
24%
240-259
22%
260-279
21%
280-299
21%
300-319
22%
320-339
20%
340-359
1%
360-379
21%
380-399
43%
400-419
4%
420-439
6%
440-459
7%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
380-399 43%
200-219 27%
220-239 24%
300-319 22%
$17,797 Vol.
$17,797 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
3%
80-99
5%
100-119
6%
120-139
21%
140-159
10%
160-179
13%
180-199
20%
200-219
27%
220-239
24%
240-259
22%
260-279
21%
280-299
21%
300-319
22%
320-339
20%
340-359
1%
360-379
21%
380-399
43%
400-419
4%
420-439
6%
440-459
7%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's X activity in early July typically clusters in the low-to-mid 200s per week amid routine engagement, with the tight spread across 180-259 ranges reflecting trader consensus on his baseline volume of roughly 25-35 posts daily. Variability stems from unpredictable catalysts like Tesla earnings updates, SpaceX launches, or political commentary, which can spike replies and threads, while the July 4 holiday weekend may dampen momentum. Historical patterns show his output fluctuating with news intensity rather than fixed schedules, keeping higher bands like 300+ at lower implied probabilities due to the absence of confirmed major events. Traders weigh these dynamics against recent weekly totals near 200-220, noting that breaking news or sustained viral moments could shift resolution toward the upper end of the frontrunning clusters.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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