Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no James Bond actor chosen yet at 72% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' April CinemaCon update where exec Courtenay Valenti stressed a deliberate, "deep respect" casting process under Denis Villeneuve, who won't audition until post-Dune: Part Three in mid-2026 for a 2028 release. Persistent rumors position Callum Turner (12.6%) as the top alternative after reports he confided landing the role—despite his February demurral—while Aaron Taylor-Johnson (10.6%) benefits from prior Broccoli meetings, outpacing fresh Jacob Elordi buzz from early May insider whispers that hasn't swayed real-money bets. Historical Eon timelines suggest prolonged secrecy, with guild tests and screen tests as key upcoming catalysts amid high speculation volatility.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAktor James Bond berikutnya?
Aktor James Bond berikutnya?
Belum ada Bond yang dipilih 73%
Callum Turner 12.6%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 10.5%
Jacob Elordi 3.3%
$2,177,076 Vol.
$2,177,076 Vol.

Belum ada Bond yang dipilih
73%

Callum Turner
13%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
11%

Jacob Elordi
3%

Henry Cavill
1%

Harris Dickinson
1%

Tom Hardy
1%

Theo James
1%

Tom Holland
1%

James Norton
<1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Jack Lowdon
<1%

Robert James-Collier
<1%

Josh O'Connor
<1%
Belum ada Bond yang dipilih 73%
Callum Turner 12.6%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 10.5%
Jacob Elordi 3.3%
$2,177,076 Vol.
$2,177,076 Vol.

Belum ada Bond yang dipilih
73%

Callum Turner
13%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
11%

Jacob Elordi
3%

Henry Cavill
1%

Harris Dickinson
1%

Tom Hardy
1%

Theo James
1%

Tom Holland
1%

James Norton
<1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Jack Lowdon
<1%

Robert James-Collier
<1%

Josh O'Connor
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no James Bond actor chosen yet at 72% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' April CinemaCon update where exec Courtenay Valenti stressed a deliberate, "deep respect" casting process under Denis Villeneuve, who won't audition until post-Dune: Part Three in mid-2026 for a 2028 release. Persistent rumors position Callum Turner (12.6%) as the top alternative after reports he confided landing the role—despite his February demurral—while Aaron Taylor-Johnson (10.6%) benefits from prior Broccoli meetings, outpacing fresh Jacob Elordi buzz from early May insider whispers that hasn't swayed real-money bets. Historical Eon timelines suggest prolonged secrecy, with guild tests and screen tests as key upcoming catalysts amid high speculation volatility.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan