Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's #MeToo-era legal saga, with "No Prison Time" at 30.6% edging out 10-20 years (24.5%) and 20-30 years (24.3%), driven by his ongoing New York rape retrial where jury deliberations began May 13, 2026, following opening statements in April. Weinstein, currently detained, reported chest pains mid-deliberations, prompting early court adjournments and fueling speculation on health-related leniency or mistrial risks. His standing 16-year California rape sentence faces a skeptical appellate panel's review from April, while past New York conviction overturns heighten acquittal odds. A guilty verdict could push toward 20+ years cumulative; verdict expected imminently as the key swing factor.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWaktu penjara Harvey Weinstein?
Waktu penjara Harvey Weinstein?
Tanpa Hukuman Penjara 30.6%
20-30 years 24.3%
10-20 tahun 24.1%
<5 tahun 10.2%
$929,898 Vol.
$929,898 Vol.
Tanpa Hukuman Penjara
31%
<5 tahun
10%
5-10 tahun
5%
10-20 tahun
24%
20-30 years
24%
Lebih dari 30 tahun
8%
Tanpa Hukuman Penjara 30.6%
20-30 years 24.3%
10-20 tahun 24.1%
<5 tahun 10.2%
$929,898 Vol.
$929,898 Vol.
Tanpa Hukuman Penjara
31%
<5 tahun
10%
5-10 tahun
5%
10-20 tahun
24%
20-30 years
24%
Lebih dari 30 tahun
8%
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's #MeToo-era legal saga, with "No Prison Time" at 30.6% edging out 10-20 years (24.5%) and 20-30 years (24.3%), driven by his ongoing New York rape retrial where jury deliberations began May 13, 2026, following opening statements in April. Weinstein, currently detained, reported chest pains mid-deliberations, prompting early court adjournments and fueling speculation on health-related leniency or mistrial risks. His standing 16-year California rape sentence faces a skeptical appellate panel's review from April, while past New York conviction overturns heighten acquittal odds. A guilty verdict could push toward 20+ years cumulative; verdict expected imminently as the key swing factor.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan