UK GDP growth forecasts for 2026 cluster around 0.9–1.1% across institutions including the OECD, EY, OBR, and Vanguard, aligning with the market’s strong consensus on the 1–2% range. The latest ONS release showed 0.4% quarter-on-quarter expansion in Q2 2026, down from 0.6% in Q1, with annual growth at 1.2%, reflecting resilient services and investment offset by softening production and construction. Persistent drags from the Middle East energy-price shock, elevated inflation pressures peaking later in 2026, and widening economic slack have tempered momentum, while Bank of England communications highlight subdued underlying demand and limited policy easing. Traders appear to price modest recovery potential from consumption and fiscal support against downside risks from geopolitical supply disruptions and weaker global demand.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui1-2% 65.5%
0-1% 29%
<0 5.3%
3-4% 2.5%
$72,485 Vol.
$72,485 Vol.
Feb 12, 2027
<0
5%
0-1%
29%
1-2%
66%
2-3%
2%
3-4%
2%
4-5%
<1%
5%+
<1%
1-2% 65.5%
0-1% 29%
<0 5.3%
3-4% 2.5%
$72,485 Vol.
$72,485 Vol.
Feb 12, 2027
<0
$11,068 Vol.
5%
0-1%
$18,610 Vol.
29%
1-2%
$23,662 Vol.
66%
2-3%
$4,159 Vol.
2%
3-4%
$3,146 Vol.
2%
4-5%
$8,288 Vol.
<1%
5%+
$3,552 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.UK GDP growth forecasts for 2026 cluster around 0.9–1.1% across institutions including the OECD, EY, OBR, and Vanguard, aligning with the market’s strong consensus on the 1–2% range. The latest ONS release showed 0.4% quarter-on-quarter expansion in Q2 2026, down from 0.6% in Q1, with annual growth at 1.2%, reflecting resilient services and investment offset by softening production and construction. Persistent drags from the Middle East energy-price shock, elevated inflation pressures peaking later in 2026, and widening economic slack have tempered momentum, while Bank of England communications highlight subdued underlying demand and limited policy easing. Traders appear to price modest recovery potential from consumption and fiscal support against downside risks from geopolitical supply disruptions and weaker global demand.
This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 22, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Volume
$72,485Tanggal Berakhir
Feb 12, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 22, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.UK GDP growth forecasts for 2026 cluster around 0.9–1.1% across institutions including the OECD, EY, OBR, and Vanguard, aligning with the market’s strong consensus on the 1–2% range. The latest ONS release showed 0.4% quarter-on-quarter expansion in Q2 2026, down from 0.6% in Q1, with annual growth at 1.2%, reflecting resilient services and investment offset by softening production and construction. Persistent drags from the Middle East energy-price shock, elevated inflation pressures peaking later in 2026, and widening economic slack have tempered momentum, while Bank of England communications highlight subdued underlying demand and limited policy easing. Traders appear to price modest recovery potential from consumption and fiscal support against downside risks from geopolitical supply disruptions and weaker global demand.
This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026. The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. If neither figure is released by the date the next quarter's GDP first quarterly estimate is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on quarterly data (compared to the same quarter in the previous year) from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$72,485Tanggal Berakhir
Feb 12, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 22, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...UK GDP growth forecasts for 2026 cluster around 0.9–1.1% across institutions including the OECD, EY, OBR, and Vanguard, aligning with the market’s strong consensus on the 1–2% range. The latest ONS release showed 0.4% quarter-on-quarter expansion in Q2 2026, down from 0.6% in Q1, with annual growth at 1.2%, reflecting resilient services and investment offset by softening production and construction. Persistent drags from the Middle East energy-price shock, elevated inflation pressures peaking later in 2026, and widening economic slack have tempered momentum, while Bank of England communications highlight subdued underlying demand and limited policy easing. Traders appear to price modest recovery potential from consumption and fiscal support against downside risks from geopolitical supply disruptions and weaker global demand.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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