Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 98.6% for Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei arrest, driven by the absence of any criminal charges or DOJ investigations despite an earlier 2026 civil dispute with the Pentagon over Claude AI restrictions for military applications like autonomous weapons. A federal judge ruled the government's response punitive, keeping the matter in civil court, while April White House meetings with Trump administration officials, including chief of staff Susie Wiles, indicate thawing tensions. Amodei's focus remains on business growth, with Anthropic reporting $30 billion run-rate revenue. Realistic shifts would require unforeseen federal indictment, FBI probe, or major scandal emerging before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$161,466 Vol.
$161,466 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$161,466 Vol.
$161,466 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 98.6% for Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei arrest, driven by the absence of any criminal charges or DOJ investigations despite an earlier 2026 civil dispute with the Pentagon over Claude AI restrictions for military applications like autonomous weapons. A federal judge ruled the government's response punitive, keeping the matter in civil court, while April White House meetings with Trump administration officials, including chief of staff Susie Wiles, indicate thawing tensions. Amodei's focus remains on business growth, with Anthropic reporting $30 billion run-rate revenue. Realistic shifts would require unforeseen federal indictment, FBI probe, or major scandal emerging before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volume
$161,466Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 98.6% for Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei arrest, driven by the absence of any criminal charges or DOJ investigations despite an earlier 2026 civil dispute with the Pentagon over Claude AI restrictions for military applications like autonomous weapons. A federal judge ruled the government's response punitive, keeping the matter in civil court, while April White House meetings with Trump administration officials, including chief of staff Susie Wiles, indicate thawing tensions. Amodei's focus remains on business growth, with Anthropic reporting $30 billion run-rate revenue. Realistic shifts would require unforeseen federal indictment, FBI probe, or major scandal emerging before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is arrested or detained by law enforcement by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$161,466Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Feb 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 98.6% for Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei arrest, driven by the absence of any criminal charges or DOJ investigations despite an earlier 2026 civil dispute with the Pentagon over Claude AI restrictions for military applications like autonomous weapons. A federal judge ruled the government's response punitive, keeping the matter in civil court, while April White House meetings with Trump administration officials, including chief of staff Susie Wiles, indicate thawing tensions. Amodei's focus remains on business growth, with Anthropic reporting $30 billion run-rate revenue. Realistic shifts would require unforeseen federal indictment, FBI probe, or major scandal emerging before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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