Recent Waymo announcements, including the May 13 expansion of its robotaxi service area to more than 1,400 square miles across 11 U.S. cities, have anchored trader sentiment around the 11-city outcome at 37% implied probability. The company is prioritizing deeper coverage in established markets such as Miami, Austin, Atlanta, Houston, and the San Francisco Bay Area ahead of events like the 2026 FIFA World Cup, rather than rushing regulatory approvals and safety validations needed for new launches. This approach builds on the February milestone of 10 cities and aligns with typical timelines for autonomous vehicle permitting, which historically require months for new metros like Denver or Las Vegas. While 12+ cities carries 13.5% odds reflecting ambitious 2026 plans, near-term barriers such as local oversight and fleet scaling limit upside before the June 30 resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui11 43%
12+ 14%
9 9.0%
≤5 5.8%
$162,676 Vol.
$162,676 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
≤5
6%
6
2%
7
8%
8
5%
9
9%
10
5%
11
37%
12+
14%
11 43%
12+ 14%
9 9.0%
≤5 5.8%
$162,676 Vol.
$162,676 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
≤5
$41,908 Vol.
6%
6
$20,111 Vol.
2%
7
$13,814 Vol.
8%
8
$14,305 Vol.
5%
9
$17,411 Vol.
9%
10
$13,669 Vol.
5%
11
$19,405 Vol.
37%
12+
$22,051 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Waymo announcements, including the May 13 expansion of its robotaxi service area to more than 1,400 square miles across 11 U.S. cities, have anchored trader sentiment around the 11-city outcome at 37% implied probability. The company is prioritizing deeper coverage in established markets such as Miami, Austin, Atlanta, Houston, and the San Francisco Bay Area ahead of events like the 2026 FIFA World Cup, rather than rushing regulatory approvals and safety validations needed for new launches. This approach builds on the February milestone of 10 cities and aligns with typical timelines for autonomous vehicle permitting, which historically require months for new metros like Denver or Las Vegas. While 12+ cities carries 13.5% odds reflecting ambitious 2026 plans, near-term barriers such as local oversight and fleet scaling limit upside before the June 30 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ET
Volume
$162,676Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Waymo announcements, including the May 13 expansion of its robotaxi service area to more than 1,400 square miles across 11 U.S. cities, have anchored trader sentiment around the 11-city outcome at 37% implied probability. The company is prioritizing deeper coverage in established markets such as Miami, Austin, Atlanta, Houston, and the San Francisco Bay Area ahead of events like the 2026 FIFA World Cup, rather than rushing regulatory approvals and safety validations needed for new launches. This approach builds on the February milestone of 10 cities and aligns with typical timelines for autonomous vehicle permitting, which historically require months for new metros like Denver or Las Vegas. While 12+ cities carries 13.5% odds reflecting ambitious 2026 plans, near-term barriers such as local oversight and fleet scaling limit upside before the June 30 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$162,676Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Waymo announcements, including the May 13 expansion of its robotaxi service area to more than 1,400 square miles across 11 U.S. cities, have anchored trader sentiment around the 11-city outcome at 37% implied probability. The company is prioritizing deeper coverage in established markets such as Miami, Austin, Atlanta, Houston, and the San Francisco Bay Area ahead of events like the 2026 FIFA World Cup, rather than rushing regulatory approvals and safety validations needed for new launches. This approach builds on the February milestone of 10 cities and aligns with typical timelines for autonomous vehicle permitting, which historically require months for new metros like Denver or Las Vegas. While 12+ cities carries 13.5% odds reflecting ambitious 2026 plans, near-term barriers such as local oversight and fleet scaling limit upside before the June 30 resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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