Brazil's Senate has advanced none of the numerous impeachment petitions filed against STF justices, including repeated efforts targeting Alexandre de Moraes, despite a April 2026 congressional inquiry report recommending proceedings against Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and de Moraes over the Banco Master case. A December 2025 ruling by Justice Mendes further entrenched the requirement that only the attorney general may initiate removal and that any Senate vote needs a two-thirds majority, a threshold never met in STF history. Senate leadership has blocked committee review or floor action on existing requests, and right-leaning coalitions remain short of the necessary votes even after the 2026 legislative session opened. These structural barriers, combined with the absence of fresh majority support in Congress, sustain the market's strong consensus against any removal occurring before 2027.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$70,874 Vol.
$70,874 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$70,874 Vol.
$70,874 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's Senate has advanced none of the numerous impeachment petitions filed against STF justices, including repeated efforts targeting Alexandre de Moraes, despite a April 2026 congressional inquiry report recommending proceedings against Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and de Moraes over the Banco Master case. A December 2025 ruling by Justice Mendes further entrenched the requirement that only the attorney general may initiate removal and that any Senate vote needs a two-thirds majority, a threshold never met in STF history. Senate leadership has blocked committee review or floor action on existing requests, and right-leaning coalitions remain short of the necessary votes even after the 2026 legislative session opened. These structural barriers, combined with the absence of fresh majority support in Congress, sustain the market's strong consensus against any removal occurring before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Volume
$70,874Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's Senate has advanced none of the numerous impeachment petitions filed against STF justices, including repeated efforts targeting Alexandre de Moraes, despite a April 2026 congressional inquiry report recommending proceedings against Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and de Moraes over the Banco Master case. A December 2025 ruling by Justice Mendes further entrenched the requirement that only the attorney general may initiate removal and that any Senate vote needs a two-thirds majority, a threshold never met in STF history. Senate leadership has blocked committee review or floor action on existing requests, and right-leaning coalitions remain short of the necessary votes even after the 2026 legislative session opened. These structural barriers, combined with the absence of fresh majority support in Congress, sustain the market's strong consensus against any removal occurring before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$70,874Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Brazil's Senate has advanced none of the numerous impeachment petitions filed against STF justices, including repeated efforts targeting Alexandre de Moraes, despite a April 2026 congressional inquiry report recommending proceedings against Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and de Moraes over the Banco Master case. A December 2025 ruling by Justice Mendes further entrenched the requirement that only the attorney general may initiate removal and that any Senate vote needs a two-thirds majority, a threshold never met in STF history. Senate leadership has blocked committee review or floor action on existing requests, and right-leaning coalitions remain short of the necessary votes even after the 2026 legislative session opened. These structural barriers, combined with the absence of fresh majority support in Congress, sustain the market's strong consensus against any removal occurring before 2027.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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