Argentina's official USD/ARS rate, near 1,490 in mid-August 2026, trades within a crawling band that widens monthly at the prior period's inflation rate, currently around 2.5-2.9%. This framework, introduced in late 2025 under President Milei, prioritizes reserve accumulation to meet sizable 2026 external debt obligations amid still-elevated annual inflation near 33%. Trader consensus splits closely between sub-1,600 and 1,600-1,699 brackets because the pace of disinflation, potential band recalibrations, and capital inflows remain uncertain, with any acceleration in monthly CPI or reserve shortfalls likely widening the depreciation path before year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$21,579 Vol.
$21,579 Vol.
<1600.00
44%
1600.00–1699.99
38%
1700.00–1799.99
9%
1800.00–1899.99
5%
1900.00–1999.99
1%
2000.00+
3%
$21,579 Vol.
$21,579 Vol.
<1600.00
44%
1600.00–1699.99
38%
1700.00–1799.99
9%
1800.00–1899.99
5%
1900.00–1999.99
1%
2000.00+
3%
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina's official USD/ARS rate, near 1,490 in mid-August 2026, trades within a crawling band that widens monthly at the prior period's inflation rate, currently around 2.5-2.9%. This framework, introduced in late 2025 under President Milei, prioritizes reserve accumulation to meet sizable 2026 external debt obligations amid still-elevated annual inflation near 33%. Trader consensus splits closely between sub-1,600 and 1,600-1,699 brackets because the pace of disinflation, potential band recalibrations, and capital inflows remain uncertain, with any acceleration in monthly CPI or reserve shortfalls likely widening the depreciation path before year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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