Trader sentiment on Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate at end-2026 centers on the January 2026 shift to a crawling-peg band that widens monthly in line with lagged inflation rather than a fixed 1 percent pace. With monthly CPI readings holding near 2.9 percent through early 2026, the peso’s nominal depreciation has remained elevated, while the central bank prioritizes reserve accumulation to cover nearly $20 billion in scheduled debt maturities. The May 5 Fitch upgrade to B- on improved fiscal balances has supported confidence and tempered extreme-outcome pricing, yet the persistent gap to parallel rates and sticky price pressures keep the market-implied odds heaviest on brackets below 1,700. Upcoming inflation prints and reserve data will continue to shape the path through year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$18,372 Vol.
$18,372 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<1600.00
51%
1600.00–1699.99
20%
1700.00–1799.99
11%
1800.00–1899.99
4%
1900.00–1999.99
2%
2000.00+
7%
$18,372 Vol.
$18,372 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<1600.00
$1,911 Vol.
51%
1600.00–1699.99
$1,465 Vol.
20%
1700.00–1799.99
$1,192 Vol.
11%
1800.00–1899.99
$1,114 Vol.
4%
1900.00–1999.99
$11,260 Vol.
2%
2000.00+
$1,430 Vol.
7%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader sentiment on Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate at end-2026 centers on the January 2026 shift to a crawling-peg band that widens monthly in line with lagged inflation rather than a fixed 1 percent pace. With monthly CPI readings holding near 2.9 percent through early 2026, the peso’s nominal depreciation has remained elevated, while the central bank prioritizes reserve accumulation to cover nearly $20 billion in scheduled debt maturities. The May 5 Fitch upgrade to B- on improved fiscal balances has supported confidence and tempered extreme-outcome pricing, yet the persistent gap to parallel rates and sticky price pressures keep the market-implied odds heaviest on brackets below 1,700. Upcoming inflation prints and reserve data will continue to shape the path through year-end.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$18,372Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader sentiment on Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate at end-2026 centers on the January 2026 shift to a crawling-peg band that widens monthly in line with lagged inflation rather than a fixed 1 percent pace. With monthly CPI readings holding near 2.9 percent through early 2026, the peso’s nominal depreciation has remained elevated, while the central bank prioritizes reserve accumulation to cover nearly $20 billion in scheduled debt maturities. The May 5 Fitch upgrade to B- on improved fiscal balances has supported confidence and tempered extreme-outcome pricing, yet the persistent gap to parallel rates and sticky price pressures keep the market-implied odds heaviest on brackets below 1,700. Upcoming inflation prints and reserve data will continue to shape the path through year-end.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$18,372Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate at end-2026 centers on the January 2026 shift to a crawling-peg band that widens monthly in line with lagged inflation rather than a fixed 1 percent pace. With monthly CPI readings holding near 2.9 percent through early 2026, the peso’s nominal depreciation has remained elevated, while the central bank prioritizes reserve accumulation to cover nearly $20 billion in scheduled debt maturities. The May 5 Fitch upgrade to B- on improved fiscal balances has supported confidence and tempered extreme-outcome pricing, yet the persistent gap to parallel rates and sticky price pressures keep the market-implied odds heaviest on brackets below 1,700. Upcoming inflation prints and reserve data will continue to shape the path through year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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