**Trader consensus that Donald Trump will not appear on a $250 bill this year reflects the absence of enacted legislation authorizing a new denomination or an exception to the long-standing prohibition on living persons on U.S. currency.** The relevant bill introduced by Rep. Joe Wilson has remained stalled in committee since early 2025, with no floor votes or advancement reported through mid-September 2026. Treasury officials conducted limited design planning earlier in the year in anticipation of possible congressional action, yet repeatedly stated that production requires statutory changes. With the calendar year nearing its end and attention shifting to commemorative coins already released, the procedural and timing barriers have kept implied probabilities for issuance extremely low. Late-session passage or an unexpected executive maneuver could theoretically reopen the possibility, though both face significant institutional hurdles.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui3% peluang
$30,531 Vol.
$30,531 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
3% peluang
$30,531 Vol.
$30,531 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
**Trader consensus that Donald Trump will not appear on a $250 bill this year reflects the absence of enacted legislation authorizing a new denomination or an exception to the long-standing prohibition on living persons on U.S. currency.** The relevant bill introduced by Rep. Joe Wilson has remained stalled in committee since early 2025, with no floor votes or advancement reported through mid-September 2026. Treasury officials conducted limited design planning earlier in the year in anticipation of possible congressional action, yet repeatedly stated that production requires statutory changes. With the calendar year nearing its end and attention shifting to commemorative coins already released, the procedural and timing barriers have kept implied probabilities for issuance extremely low. Late-session passage or an unexpected executive maneuver could theoretically reopen the possibility, though both face significant institutional hurdles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
Volume
$30,531Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
**Trader consensus that Donald Trump will not appear on a $250 bill this year reflects the absence of enacted legislation authorizing a new denomination or an exception to the long-standing prohibition on living persons on U.S. currency.** The relevant bill introduced by Rep. Joe Wilson has remained stalled in committee since early 2025, with no floor votes or advancement reported through mid-September 2026. Treasury officials conducted limited design planning earlier in the year in anticipation of possible congressional action, yet repeatedly stated that production requires statutory changes. With the calendar year nearing its end and attention shifting to commemorative coins already released, the procedural and timing barriers have kept implied probabilities for issuance extremely low. Late-session passage or an unexpected executive maneuver could theoretically reopen the possibility, though both face significant institutional hurdles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$30,531Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus that Donald Trump will not appear on a $250 bill this year reflects the absence of enacted legislation authorizing a new denomination or an exception to the long-standing prohibition on living persons on U.S. currency.** The relevant bill introduced by Rep. Joe Wilson has remained stalled in committee since early 2025, with no floor votes or advancement reported through mid-September 2026. Treasury officials conducted limited design planning earlier in the year in anticipation of possible congressional action, yet repeatedly stated that production requires statutory changes. With the calendar year nearing its end and attention shifting to commemorative coins already released, the procedural and timing barriers have kept implied probabilities for issuance extremely low. Late-session passage or an unexpected executive maneuver could theoretically reopen the possibility, though both face significant institutional hurdles.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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