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Politik·Jangka Menengah

CA-11 House Election Winner (Individual)

icon for CA-11 House Election Winner (Individual)
Politik·Jangka Menengah

CA-11 House Election Winner (Individual)

Polymarket

$12,983 Vol.

Polymarket

$12,983 Vol.

Scott Wiener

$2,978 Vol.

60%

Connie Chan

$10,006 Vol.

41%

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Scott Wiener holds a modest edge in the CA-11 general election matchup against Connie Chan, reflecting his stronger primary performance, superior fundraising, and broad support across San Francisco precincts. The race remains competitive due to Chan's recent polling gains among progressive voters, Pelosi's endorsement, and sharp policy contrasts on housing density and tenant protections, where Chan positions herself against state-mandated rezoning measures Wiener has championed. Chan's decision to step back from Board of Supervisors committee work to focus on campaigning has drawn criticism over constituent representation but underscores her full-time effort ahead of November. Key factors that could widen the gap include turnout among specific voting blocs, further independent expenditures, or late developments on local economic issues.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,983
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Scott Wiener holds a modest edge in the CA-11 general election matchup against Connie Chan, reflecting his stronger primary performance, superior fundraising, and broad support across San Francisco precincts. The race remains competitive due to Chan's recent polling gains among progressive voters, Pelosi's endorsement, and sharp policy contrasts on housing density and tenant protections, where Chan positions herself against state-mandated rezoning measures Wiener has championed. Chan's decision to step back from Board of Supervisors committee work to focus on campaigning has drawn criticism over constituent representation but underscores her full-time effort ahead of November. Key factors that could widen the gap include turnout among specific voting blocs, further independent expenditures, or late developments on local economic issues.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,983
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"CA-11 House Election Winner (Individual)" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 2 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Scott Wiener" di 60%, diikuti oleh "Connie Chan" di 41%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 60¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 60% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "CA-11 House Election Winner (Individual)" telah menghasilkan $13K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 9, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "CA-11 House Election Winner (Individual)," jelajahi 2 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "CA-11 House Election Winner (Individual)" adalah "Scott Wiener" di 60%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 60% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Connie Chan" di 41%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "CA-11 House Election Winner (Individual)" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.