The district’s strong Democratic voter registration and consistent performance in recent cycles underpin the 93% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Juan Vargas, first elected in 2012 and re-elected with 66% in 2024, faces a June 2 top-two primary against fellow Democrats and a single Republican; the general election follows on November 3. Historical margins, fundraising patterns, and the absence of competitive Republican challengers have kept probabilities stable. A late surge by an unusually strong GOP candidate or a major national political realignment could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain unlikely given the district’s structural lean and institutional advantages for the Democratic frontrunner.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCA-52 House Election Winner
CA-52 House Election Winner
$41,811 Vol.
$41,811 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
$41,811 Vol.
$41,811 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$31,373 Vol.
93%
Republican Party
$10,438 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-52 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district’s strong Democratic voter registration and consistent performance in recent cycles underpin the 93% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Juan Vargas, first elected in 2012 and re-elected with 66% in 2024, faces a June 2 top-two primary against fellow Democrats and a single Republican; the general election follows on November 3. Historical margins, fundraising patterns, and the absence of competitive Republican challengers have kept probabilities stable. A late surge by an unusually strong GOP candidate or a major national political realignment could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain unlikely given the district’s structural lean and institutional advantages for the Democratic frontrunner.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-52 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$41,811Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-52 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district’s strong Democratic voter registration and consistent performance in recent cycles underpin the 93% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Juan Vargas, first elected in 2012 and re-elected with 66% in 2024, faces a June 2 top-two primary against fellow Democrats and a single Republican; the general election follows on November 3. Historical margins, fundraising patterns, and the absence of competitive Republican challengers have kept probabilities stable. A late surge by an unusually strong GOP candidate or a major national political realignment could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain unlikely given the district’s structural lean and institutional advantages for the Democratic frontrunner.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-52 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$41,811Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district’s strong Democratic voter registration and consistent performance in recent cycles underpin the 93% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Juan Vargas, first elected in 2012 and re-elected with 66% in 2024, faces a June 2 top-two primary against fellow Democrats and a single Republican; the general election follows on November 3. Historical margins, fundraising patterns, and the absence of competitive Republican challengers have kept probabilities stable. A late surge by an unusually strong GOP candidate or a major national political realignment could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain unlikely given the district’s structural lean and institutional advantages for the Democratic frontrunner.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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