Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 84% implied probability for no critical Discord incident by May 31, driven by the platform's swift resolution of a minor API error outage on May 8 that peaked at 38,000 user reports but restored all critical functionalities within hours without data compromise or security breach. Discord's status page confirms no ongoing disruptions as of mid-May, following smaller issues on May 2 and 9, underscoring effective incident response and platform stability amid routine operational hiccups common to large-scale chat services. Earlier 2025 third-party vendor exposure affected limited users but prompted enhanced safeguards, reducing breach risks; no major vulnerabilities or hacks have emerged in 2026. With 17 days remaining, odds could shift on unforeseen exploits or prolonged downtime, though traders see low near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$17,345 Vol.
$17,345 Vol.
May 31, 2026
$17,345 Vol.
$17,345 Vol.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 84% implied probability for no critical Discord incident by May 31, driven by the platform's swift resolution of a minor API error outage on May 8 that peaked at 38,000 user reports but restored all critical functionalities within hours without data compromise or security breach. Discord's status page confirms no ongoing disruptions as of mid-May, following smaller issues on May 2 and 9, underscoring effective incident response and platform stability amid routine operational hiccups common to large-scale chat services. Earlier 2025 third-party vendor exposure affected limited users but prompted enhanced safeguards, reducing breach risks; no major vulnerabilities or hacks have emerged in 2026. With 17 days remaining, odds could shift on unforeseen exploits or prolonged downtime, though traders see low near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 27, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Volume
$17,345Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 27, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 84% implied probability for no critical Discord incident by May 31, driven by the platform's swift resolution of a minor API error outage on May 8 that peaked at 38,000 user reports but restored all critical functionalities within hours without data compromise or security breach. Discord's status page confirms no ongoing disruptions as of mid-May, following smaller issues on May 2 and 9, underscoring effective incident response and platform stability amid routine operational hiccups common to large-scale chat services. Earlier 2025 third-party vendor exposure affected limited users but prompted enhanced safeguards, reducing breach risks; no major vulnerabilities or hacks have emerged in 2026. With 17 days remaining, odds could shift on unforeseen exploits or prolonged downtime, though traders see low near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Volume
$17,345Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 27, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 84% implied probability for no critical Discord incident by May 31, driven by the platform's swift resolution of a minor API error outage on May 8 that peaked at 38,000 user reports but restored all critical functionalities within hours without data compromise or security breach. Discord's status page confirms no ongoing disruptions as of mid-May, following smaller issues on May 2 and 9, underscoring effective incident response and platform stability amid routine operational hiccups common to large-scale chat services. Earlier 2025 third-party vendor exposure affected limited users but prompted enhanced safeguards, reducing breach risks; no major vulnerabilities or hacks have emerged in 2026. With 17 days remaining, odds could shift on unforeseen exploits or prolonged downtime, though traders see low near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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