**Trader consensus on Elon Musk’s X activity for September 15–22, 2026, centers on the 200–239 tweet range because recent resolved markets and partial tracking data show his baseline pace in non-crisis September periods landing in the low-to-mid 200s.** The prior week resolved at 186 posts, and live counters for the current window sit near 111 through September 21, consistent with roughly 20–30 daily originals, replies, and reposts when no major external catalyst dominates. The Grok 4.7 rollout on September 21 generated a visible cluster of promotional replies and engagement spikes, providing modest upward lift without pushing totals into outlier territory. With the week closing and no Starship launch or political firestorm underway, traders see little probability mass above 260 or below 200, pricing the two central brackets as the clearest reflection of Musk’s established mid-September rhythm.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui220-239 63%
200-219 30%
240-259 5.0%
260-279 <1%
$1,804,126 Vol.
$1,804,126 Vol.
Sep 22, 2026
200-219
30%
220-239
63%
240-259
5%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
220-239 63%
200-219 30%
240-259 5.0%
260-279 <1%
$1,804,126 Vol.
$1,804,126 Vol.
Sep 22, 2026
200-219
$130,787 Vol.
30%
220-239
$154,880 Vol.
63%
240-259
$127,283 Vol.
5%
260-279
$122,741 Vol.
1%
280-299
$120,843 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$110,150 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$62,153 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$51,992 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$36,275 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$28,275 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$29,138 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$22,799 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$15,753 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$9,992 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$10,570 Vol.
<1%
500+
$46,359 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 15 12:00 PM ET to September 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus on Elon Musk’s X activity for September 15–22, 2026, centers on the 200–239 tweet range because recent resolved markets and partial tracking data show his baseline pace in non-crisis September periods landing in the low-to-mid 200s.**
The prior week resolved at 186 posts, and live counters for the current window sit near 111 through September 21, consistent with roughly 20–30 daily originals, replies, and reposts when no major external catalyst dominates. The Grok 4.7 rollout on September 21 generated a visible cluster of promotional replies and engagement spikes, providing modest upward lift without pushing totals into outlier territory.
With the week closing and no Starship launch or political firestorm underway, traders see little probability mass above 260 or below 200, pricing the two central brackets as the clearest reflection of Musk’s established mid-September rhythm.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 15 12:00 PM ET to September 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$1,804,126Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 15 12:00 PM ET to September 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus on Elon Musk’s X activity for September 15–22, 2026, centers on the 200–239 tweet range because recent resolved markets and partial tracking data show his baseline pace in non-crisis September periods landing in the low-to-mid 200s.**
The prior week resolved at 186 posts, and live counters for the current window sit near 111 through September 21, consistent with roughly 20–30 daily originals, replies, and reposts when no major external catalyst dominates. The Grok 4.7 rollout on September 21 generated a visible cluster of promotional replies and engagement spikes, providing modest upward lift without pushing totals into outlier territory.
With the week closing and no Starship launch or political firestorm underway, traders see little probability mass above 260 or below 200, pricing the two central brackets as the clearest reflection of Musk’s established mid-September rhythm.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 15 12:00 PM ET to September 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,804,126Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on Elon Musk’s X activity for September 15–22, 2026, centers on the 200–239 tweet range because recent resolved markets and partial tracking data show his baseline pace in non-crisis September periods landing in the low-to-mid 200s.** The prior week resolved at 186 posts, and live counters for the current window sit near 111 through September 21, consistent with roughly 20–30 daily originals, replies, and reposts when no major external catalyst dominates. The Grok 4.7 rollout on September 21 generated a visible cluster of promotional replies and engagement spikes, providing modest upward lift without pushing totals into outlier territory. With the week closing and no Starship launch or political firestorm underway, traders see little probability mass above 260 or below 200, pricing the two central brackets as the clearest reflection of Musk’s established mid-September rhythm.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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