Florida's 13th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+6, positioning it as a Republican-leaning seat entering the 2026 midterms. Incumbent Anna Paulina Luna advanced unopposed through the canceled August 18 Republican primary, while Democrats including Leela Gray head toward their primary the same day. Multiple forecasters rate the race Likely Republican. Recent polling, including an internal survey showing Luna ahead by 8 points and an earlier Public Policy Polling result of a narrow lead, reinforces trader expectations. These factors, combined with the district's voting history and limited Democratic momentum, sustain the Republican Party's 76.5% implied probability over the Democratic Party's 24%. No major late developments have altered the fundamentals in recent weeks.
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FL-13 House Election Winner
BARU
BARU
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
77%
Democratic Party
24%
BARU
BARU
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$1,172 Vol.
77%
Democratic Party
$837 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 13th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+6, positioning it as a Republican-leaning seat entering the 2026 midterms. Incumbent Anna Paulina Luna advanced unopposed through the canceled August 18 Republican primary, while Democrats including Leela Gray head toward their primary the same day. Multiple forecasters rate the race Likely Republican. Recent polling, including an internal survey showing Luna ahead by 8 points and an earlier Public Policy Polling result of a narrow lead, reinforces trader expectations. These factors, combined with the district's voting history and limited Democratic momentum, sustain the Republican Party's 76.5% implied probability over the Democratic Party's 24%. No major late developments have altered the fundamentals in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
Volume
$2,009Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 13th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+6, positioning it as a Republican-leaning seat entering the 2026 midterms. Incumbent Anna Paulina Luna advanced unopposed through the canceled August 18 Republican primary, while Democrats including Leela Gray head toward their primary the same day. Multiple forecasters rate the race Likely Republican. Recent polling, including an internal survey showing Luna ahead by 8 points and an earlier Public Policy Polling result of a narrow lead, reinforces trader expectations. These factors, combined with the district's voting history and limited Democratic momentum, sustain the Republican Party's 76.5% implied probability over the Democratic Party's 24%. No major late developments have altered the fundamentals in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$2,009Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 13th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+6, positioning it as a Republican-leaning seat entering the 2026 midterms. Incumbent Anna Paulina Luna advanced unopposed through the canceled August 18 Republican primary, while Democrats including Leela Gray head toward their primary the same day. Multiple forecasters rate the race Likely Republican. Recent polling, including an internal survey showing Luna ahead by 8 points and an earlier Public Policy Polling result of a narrow lead, reinforces trader expectations. These factors, combined with the district's voting history and limited Democratic momentum, sustain the Republican Party's 76.5% implied probability over the Democratic Party's 24%. No major late developments have altered the fundamentals in recent weeks.
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