Traders see the tightest odds clustered around 88–93°F for Atlanta’s July 12 high because long-range models show modest uncertainty in peak heating. Atlanta’s mid-July climatology centers on 89°F under typical southerly flow and high humidity, but recent model runs differ on afternoon cloud cover and weak frontal moisture that could trim insolation by 1–3°F. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble means currently favor upper 80s to low 90s at Hartsfield-Jackson Airport, with the exact maximum hinging on the timing of any scattered convection and boundary-layer mixing. Historical analogs from similar warm, moist patterns confirm that small shifts in dew-point depression or wind speed can easily move the daily high across the 88–93°F brackets that dominate market-implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Atlanta on July 12?
88-89°F 37%
90-91°F 30%
86-87°F 23%
92-93°F 7.6%
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
23%
88-89°F
37%
90-91°F
30%
92-93°F
8%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 37%
90-91°F 30%
86-87°F 23%
92-93°F 7.6%
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
23%
88-89°F
37%
90-91°F
30%
92-93°F
8%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the tightest odds clustered around 88–93°F for Atlanta’s July 12 high because long-range models show modest uncertainty in peak heating. Atlanta’s mid-July climatology centers on 89°F under typical southerly flow and high humidity, but recent model runs differ on afternoon cloud cover and weak frontal moisture that could trim insolation by 1–3°F. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble means currently favor upper 80s to low 90s at Hartsfield-Jackson Airport, with the exact maximum hinging on the timing of any scattered convection and boundary-layer mixing. Historical analogs from similar warm, moist patterns confirm that small shifts in dew-point depression or wind speed can easily move the daily high across the 88–93°F brackets that dominate market-implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan