**Trader sentiment for Beijing's June 18 maximum temperature centers on official guidance from China's National Meteorological Centre projecting a 31°C high amid thunderstorms, with ensemble models showing modest spread around this value.** Recent surface observations and short-range forecasts indicate daytime heating under partly cloudy conditions before convective activity develops, potentially limiting peak readings near 31–32°C. Differentiation between these outcomes hinges on precise timing of storm initiation, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day clearing that could allow additional insolation. Historical June climatology for the capital shows average highs near 31°C, providing a baseline against which current model consensus aligns closely. Updated CMA guidance or refined numerical weather prediction runs expected overnight will likely refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Beijing on June 18?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 18?
32°C 33%
31°C 31%
30°C 21%
33°C 9.4%
BARU
$41,187 Vol.
BARU
$41,187 Vol.
Jun 18, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
9%
30°C
21%
31°C
31%
32°C
33%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 33%
31°C 31%
30°C 21%
33°C 9.4%
BARU
$41,187 Vol.
BARU
$41,187 Vol.
Jun 18, 2026
26°C or below
$4,450 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,782 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,760 Vol.
1%
29°C
$2,688 Vol.
9%
30°C
$2,868 Vol.
21%
31°C
$2,811 Vol.
31%
32°C
$8,404 Vol.
33%
33°C
$5,902 Vol.
9%
34°C
$3,835 Vol.
2%
35°C
$2,452 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$3,243 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Beijing's June 18 maximum temperature centers on official guidance from China's National Meteorological Centre projecting a 31°C high amid thunderstorms, with ensemble models showing modest spread around this value.** Recent surface observations and short-range forecasts indicate daytime heating under partly cloudy conditions before convective activity develops, potentially limiting peak readings near 31–32°C. Differentiation between these outcomes hinges on precise timing of storm initiation, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day clearing that could allow additional insolation. Historical June climatology for the capital shows average highs near 31°C, providing a baseline against which current model consensus aligns closely. Updated CMA guidance or refined numerical weather prediction runs expected overnight will likely refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$41,187Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Beijing's June 18 maximum temperature centers on official guidance from China's National Meteorological Centre projecting a 31°C high amid thunderstorms, with ensemble models showing modest spread around this value.** Recent surface observations and short-range forecasts indicate daytime heating under partly cloudy conditions before convective activity develops, potentially limiting peak readings near 31–32°C. Differentiation between these outcomes hinges on precise timing of storm initiation, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day clearing that could allow additional insolation. Historical June climatology for the capital shows average highs near 31°C, providing a baseline against which current model consensus aligns closely. Updated CMA guidance or refined numerical weather prediction runs expected overnight will likely refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41,187Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Beijing's June 18 maximum temperature centers on official guidance from China's National Meteorological Centre projecting a 31°C high amid thunderstorms, with ensemble models showing modest spread around this value.** Recent surface observations and short-range forecasts indicate daytime heating under partly cloudy conditions before convective activity develops, potentially limiting peak readings near 31–32°C. Differentiation between these outcomes hinges on precise timing of storm initiation, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day clearing that could allow additional insolation. Historical June climatology for the capital shows average highs near 31°C, providing a baseline against which current model consensus aligns closely. Updated CMA guidance or refined numerical weather prediction runs expected overnight will likely refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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