Traders have overwhelmingly priced the highest temperature in New York City on June 17 at 76–77°F because current National Weather Service observations and short-range forecast models show the daily maximum stabilizing in that narrow band at LaGuardia Airport. A stable air mass with moderate humidity, light southerly flow, and partial cloud cover has limited afternoon heating, keeping readings close to seasonal normals rather than the warmer anomalies seen earlier in the month. Official station data through midday confirm this trajectory, with minimal model spread across guidance suites. The only realistic shifts would require rapid clearing that allows stronger insolation or an unforecast wind change advecting warmer air from the southwest, though both appear unlikely given the latest updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on June 17?
76-77°F 99.8%
80-81°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
69°F or below <1%
$92,796 Vol.
$92,796 Vol.
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
100%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 99.8%
80-81°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
69°F or below <1%
$92,796 Vol.
$92,796 Vol.
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
100%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have overwhelmingly priced the highest temperature in New York City on June 17 at 76–77°F because current National Weather Service observations and short-range forecast models show the daily maximum stabilizing in that narrow band at LaGuardia Airport. A stable air mass with moderate humidity, light southerly flow, and partial cloud cover has limited afternoon heating, keeping readings close to seasonal normals rather than the warmer anomalies seen earlier in the month. Official station data through midday confirm this trajectory, with minimal model spread across guidance suites. The only realistic shifts would require rapid clearing that allows stronger insolation or an unforecast wind change advecting warmer air from the southwest, though both appear unlikely given the latest updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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