Trader consensus centers on ensemble forecast guidance from major models like ECMWF and GFS, which currently project Milan’s June 17 maximum temperature peaking near 32–33 °C under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds. Model spread arises from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects, keeping 32 °C and 33 °C probabilities nearly equal while capping higher outcomes below 20 % combined. With resolution two days away, upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs plus local observations will refine the exact peak, underscoring the inherent uncertainty range typical of short-range temperature predictions in northern Italy during early summer.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Milan on June 17?
Highest temperature in Milan on June 17?
32°C 36%
33°C 33%
31°C 15%
34°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Jun 17, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
15%
32°C
36%
33°C
33%
34°C
12%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 36%
33°C 33%
31°C 15%
34°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Jun 17, 2026
29°C or below
$132 Vol.
1%
30°C
$141 Vol.
3%
31°C
$69 Vol.
15%
32°C
$55 Vol.
36%
33°C
$151 Vol.
33%
34°C
$21 Vol.
12%
35°C
$0 Vol.
4%
36°C
$1 Vol.
1%
37°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$47 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on ensemble forecast guidance from major models like ECMWF and GFS, which currently project Milan’s June 17 maximum temperature peaking near 32–33 °C under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds. Model spread arises from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects, keeping 32 °C and 33 °C probabilities nearly equal while capping higher outcomes below 20 % combined. With resolution two days away, upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs plus local observations will refine the exact peak, underscoring the inherent uncertainty range typical of short-range temperature predictions in northern Italy during early summer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$508Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on ensemble forecast guidance from major models like ECMWF and GFS, which currently project Milan’s June 17 maximum temperature peaking near 32–33 °C under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds. Model spread arises from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects, keeping 32 °C and 33 °C probabilities nearly equal while capping higher outcomes below 20 % combined. With resolution two days away, upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs plus local observations will refine the exact peak, underscoring the inherent uncertainty range typical of short-range temperature predictions in northern Italy during early summer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$508Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on ensemble forecast guidance from major models like ECMWF and GFS, which currently project Milan’s June 17 maximum temperature peaking near 32–33 °C under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds. Model spread arises from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects, keeping 32 °C and 33 °C probabilities nearly equal while capping higher outcomes below 20 % combined. With resolution two days away, upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs plus local observations will refine the exact peak, underscoring the inherent uncertainty range typical of short-range temperature predictions in northern Italy during early summer.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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