Current forecast consensus from major models centers on a daily maximum near 30–32°C for Chongqing on June 15, reflecting typical early-summer subtropical conditions with moderate southerly flow, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit strong daytime heating. This narrow band explains the closely matched market-implied odds, as small differences in predicted timing of precipitation or wind speed can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical June averages hover around 29°C, but recent model runs show slight upward adjustments from clearer intervals, while urban heat retention and high humidity may amplify observed readings without altering the official maximum. Updated guidance from regional agencies in the next 12–24 hours will likely resolve the tight distribution among the leading outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chongqing on June 15?
31°C 32%
30°C 22%
32°C 20%
29°C 13%
28°C or below
6%
29°C
13%
30°C
22%
31°C
32%
32°C
20%
33°C
7%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 32%
30°C 22%
32°C 20%
29°C 13%
28°C or below
6%
29°C
13%
30°C
22%
31°C
32%
32°C
20%
33°C
7%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from major models centers on a daily maximum near 30–32°C for Chongqing on June 15, reflecting typical early-summer subtropical conditions with moderate southerly flow, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit strong daytime heating. This narrow band explains the closely matched market-implied odds, as small differences in predicted timing of precipitation or wind speed can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical June averages hover around 29°C, but recent model runs show slight upward adjustments from clearer intervals, while urban heat retention and high humidity may amplify observed readings without altering the official maximum. Updated guidance from regional agencies in the next 12–24 hours will likely resolve the tight distribution among the leading outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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