Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies point to overnight lows near 20°C in Shanghai on June 14, 2026, amid persistent cloud cover and high humidity typical of the early Meiyu (plum rain) season. These conditions limit radiative cooling at night while moderating temperature swings, aligning with climatological averages for mid-June when lows rarely dip below 20°C without major synoptic shifts. Trader consensus at 98% for the 20°C outcome reflects this model agreement and historical data showing limited variability under similar atmospheric setups. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clearing of skies or influx of cooler air from a passing front, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before the daily minimum is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 14?
20°C 98.6%
19°C <1%
18°C <1%
17°C or below <1%
$53,347 Vol.
$53,347 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
20°C 98.6%
19°C <1%
18°C <1%
17°C or below <1%
$53,347 Vol.
$53,347 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies point to overnight lows near 20°C in Shanghai on June 14, 2026, amid persistent cloud cover and high humidity typical of the early Meiyu (plum rain) season. These conditions limit radiative cooling at night while moderating temperature swings, aligning with climatological averages for mid-June when lows rarely dip below 20°C without major synoptic shifts. Trader consensus at 98% for the 20°C outcome reflects this model agreement and historical data showing limited variability under similar atmospheric setups. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clearing of skies or influx of cooler air from a passing front, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before the daily minimum is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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