**Recent weather model consensus for Shanghai points to a minimum temperature of 21–23°C on June 15, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s tight distribution (22°C at 42%, 23°C at 33.5%).** Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the mei-yu (plum rain) season are the dominant factors limiting nighttime radiative cooling. Overcast skies trap heat and maintain higher humidity, while light easterly winds provide modest mixing that prevents sharper drops. Official guidance from sources such as timeanddate.com and BBC Weather currently projects overnight lows near 21–22°C (roughly 70–72°F) under these conditions. Model spread arises mainly from uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and cloud thickness; clearer breaks could allow slightly more cooling toward 21°C, while heavier or prolonged cloud would favor 23°C or marginally higher. Historical June climatology (average lows ~21–24°C) reinforces this narrow range, with traders weighting the latest ensemble runs that keep the most probable outcomes clustered around 22–23°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 15?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 15?
22°C 42%
23°C 34%
21°C 12.8%
24°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Jun 15, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
13%
22°C
42%
23°C
34%
24°C
15%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 42%
23°C 34%
21°C 12.8%
24°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Jun 15, 2026
17°C or below
$422 Vol.
1%
18°C
$27 Vol.
1%
19°C
$51 Vol.
1%
20°C
$53 Vol.
5%
21°C
$39 Vol.
13%
22°C
$26 Vol.
42%
23°C
$3 Vol.
34%
24°C
$18 Vol.
15%
25°C
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$165 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$761 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent weather model consensus for Shanghai points to a minimum temperature of 21–23°C on June 15, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s tight distribution (22°C at 42%, 23°C at 33.5%).**
Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the mei-yu (plum rain) season are the dominant factors limiting nighttime radiative cooling. Overcast skies trap heat and maintain higher humidity, while light easterly winds provide modest mixing that prevents sharper drops. Official guidance from sources such as timeanddate.com and BBC Weather currently projects overnight lows near 21–22°C (roughly 70–72°F) under these conditions.
Model spread arises mainly from uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and cloud thickness; clearer breaks could allow slightly more cooling toward 21°C, while heavier or prolonged cloud would favor 23°C or marginally higher. Historical June climatology (average lows ~21–24°C) reinforces this narrow range, with traders weighting the latest ensemble runs that keep the most probable outcomes clustered around 22–23°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Volume
$550Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent weather model consensus for Shanghai points to a minimum temperature of 21–23°C on June 15, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s tight distribution (22°C at 42%, 23°C at 33.5%).**
Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the mei-yu (plum rain) season are the dominant factors limiting nighttime radiative cooling. Overcast skies trap heat and maintain higher humidity, while light easterly winds provide modest mixing that prevents sharper drops. Official guidance from sources such as timeanddate.com and BBC Weather currently projects overnight lows near 21–22°C (roughly 70–72°F) under these conditions.
Model spread arises mainly from uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and cloud thickness; clearer breaks could allow slightly more cooling toward 21°C, while heavier or prolonged cloud would favor 23°C or marginally higher. Historical June climatology (average lows ~21–24°C) reinforces this narrow range, with traders weighting the latest ensemble runs that keep the most probable outcomes clustered around 22–23°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$550Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent weather model consensus for Shanghai points to a minimum temperature of 21–23°C on June 15, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s tight distribution (22°C at 42%, 23°C at 33.5%).** Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the mei-yu (plum rain) season are the dominant factors limiting nighttime radiative cooling. Overcast skies trap heat and maintain higher humidity, while light easterly winds provide modest mixing that prevents sharper drops. Official guidance from sources such as timeanddate.com and BBC Weather currently projects overnight lows near 21–22°C (roughly 70–72°F) under these conditions. Model spread arises mainly from uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and cloud thickness; clearer breaks could allow slightly more cooling toward 21°C, while heavier or prolonged cloud would favor 23°C or marginally higher. Historical June climatology (average lows ~21–24°C) reinforces this narrow range, with traders weighting the latest ensemble runs that keep the most probable outcomes clustered around 22–23°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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