Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus sources point to a June 13 maximum near 28–30°C, reflecting the primary driver behind the market’s broad distribution with 30°C leading at 33% implied probability. Early-summer conditions—high humidity above 80%, scattered showers, and moderating sea breezes—typically cap daytime peaks below the June climatological average of ~31°C, though partial clearing could allow brief warming. Seasonal outlooks already anticipate above-normal temperatures for June–August due to long-term warming trends, yet near-term model runs show limited upside risk above 31°C and slim chances for extremes. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs for similar synoptic setups, with resolution hinging on official Observatory readings at key stations. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 13?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 13?
30°C 33%
29°C 21%
31°C 18%
28°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Jun 13, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
6%
28°C
8%
29°C
21%
30°C
33%
31°C
19%
32°C
9%
33°C
6%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 33%
29°C 21%
31°C 18%
28°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Jun 13, 2026
25°C or below
$3 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$583 Vol.
6%
28°C
$100 Vol.
8%
29°C
$17 Vol.
21%
30°C
$12 Vol.
33%
31°C
$18 Vol.
19%
32°C
$10 Vol.
9%
33°C
$3 Vol.
6%
34°C
$33 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$53 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus sources point to a June 13 maximum near 28–30°C, reflecting the primary driver behind the market’s broad distribution with 30°C leading at 33% implied probability. Early-summer conditions—high humidity above 80%, scattered showers, and moderating sea breezes—typically cap daytime peaks below the June climatological average of ~31°C, though partial clearing could allow brief warming. Seasonal outlooks already anticipate above-normal temperatures for June–August due to long-term warming trends, yet near-term model runs show limited upside risk above 31°C and slim chances for extremes. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs for similar synoptic setups, with resolution hinging on official Observatory readings at key stations. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$879Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus sources point to a June 13 maximum near 28–30°C, reflecting the primary driver behind the market’s broad distribution with 30°C leading at 33% implied probability. Early-summer conditions—high humidity above 80%, scattered showers, and moderating sea breezes—typically cap daytime peaks below the June climatological average of ~31°C, though partial clearing could allow brief warming. Seasonal outlooks already anticipate above-normal temperatures for June–August due to long-term warming trends, yet near-term model runs show limited upside risk above 31°C and slim chances for extremes. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs for similar synoptic setups, with resolution hinging on official Observatory readings at key stations. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$879Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus sources point to a June 13 maximum near 28–30°C, reflecting the primary driver behind the market’s broad distribution with 30°C leading at 33% implied probability. Early-summer conditions—high humidity above 80%, scattered showers, and moderating sea breezes—typically cap daytime peaks below the June climatological average of ~31°C, though partial clearing could allow brief warming. Seasonal outlooks already anticipate above-normal temperatures for June–August due to long-term warming trends, yet near-term model runs show limited upside risk above 31°C and slim chances for extremes. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs for similar synoptic setups, with resolution hinging on official Observatory readings at key stations. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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