Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies project Chengdu's June 11 high near 29–30°C, driven by typical early-summer subtropical monsoon conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited cloud cover allowing daytime warming. Model consensus from sources such as the BBC and AccuWeather supports this range based on current atmospheric steering patterns and regional temperature baselines averaging 28–30°C for the period. The closely matched market prices around 29–31°C reflect trader assessment of forecast uncertainty, including potential minor shifts from diurnal variability or station-specific readings at official monitoring sites. New model runs or observational updates tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 11?
30°C 31%
29°C 26%
31°C 16%
28°C 15%
$17,838 Vol.
$17,838 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
7%
28°C
15%
29°C
26%
30°C
31%
31°C
16%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 31%
29°C 26%
31°C 16%
28°C 15%
$17,838 Vol.
$17,838 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
7%
28°C
15%
29°C
26%
30°C
31%
31°C
16%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 9, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies project Chengdu's June 11 high near 29–30°C, driven by typical early-summer subtropical monsoon conditions with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited cloud cover allowing daytime warming. Model consensus from sources such as the BBC and AccuWeather supports this range based on current atmospheric steering patterns and regional temperature baselines averaging 28–30°C for the period. The closely matched market prices around 29–31°C reflect trader assessment of forecast uncertainty, including potential minor shifts from diurnal variability or station-specific readings at official monitoring sites. New model runs or observational updates tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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