Forecast models from European meteorological agencies converged on a 34°C daily maximum for Madrid on June 12, 2026, under persistent high pressure and clear skies that maximize solar heating during peak insolation hours. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs reach the low 30s Celsius, and recent ensemble runs show minimal spread around this value. Official observations through midday support the outcome, with minimal convective activity expected to alter surface temperatures. The market's 100% implied probability reflects this strong model agreement, though an unanticipated increase in cloud cover or a shift in northerly flow could cap readings below the threshold before evening.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Madrid on June 12?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 12?
34°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$92,221 Vol.
$92,221 Vol.
Jun 12, 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$92,221 Vol.
$92,221 Vol.
Jun 12, 2026
30°C or below
$609 Vol.
No
31°C
$682 Vol.
No
32°C
$5,655 Vol.
No
33°C
$25,008 Vol.
No
34°C
$33,669 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$13,536 Vol.
No
36°C
$8,158 Vol.
No
37°C
$2,928 Vol.
No
38°C
$700 Vol.
No
39°C
$317 Vol.
No
40°C or higher
$958 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from European meteorological agencies converged on a 34°C daily maximum for Madrid on June 12, 2026, under persistent high pressure and clear skies that maximize solar heating during peak insolation hours. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs reach the low 30s Celsius, and recent ensemble runs show minimal spread around this value. Official observations through midday support the outcome, with minimal convective activity expected to alter surface temperatures. The market's 100% implied probability reflects this strong model agreement, though an unanticipated increase in cloud cover or a shift in northerly flow could cap readings below the threshold before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Volume
$92,221Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from European meteorological agencies converged on a 34°C daily maximum for Madrid on June 12, 2026, under persistent high pressure and clear skies that maximize solar heating during peak insolation hours. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs reach the low 30s Celsius, and recent ensemble runs show minimal spread around this value. Official observations through midday support the outcome, with minimal convective activity expected to alter surface temperatures. The market's 100% implied probability reflects this strong model agreement, though an unanticipated increase in cloud cover or a shift in northerly flow could cap readings below the threshold before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$92,221Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Forecast models from European meteorological agencies converged on a 34°C daily maximum for Madrid on June 12, 2026, under persistent high pressure and clear skies that maximize solar heating during peak insolation hours. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs reach the low 30s Celsius, and recent ensemble runs show minimal spread around this value. Official observations through midday support the outcome, with minimal convective activity expected to alter surface temperatures. The market's 100% implied probability reflects this strong model agreement, though an unanticipated increase in cloud cover or a shift in northerly flow could cap readings below the threshold before evening.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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