Recent forecasts from global models point to a typical mid-June winter maximum near 18°C in Cape Town, consistent with climatological averages of 17–18°C driven by the cool Benguela Current and prevailing westerly flow. Trader consensus clustering on 18–19°C (over 65% combined) reflects tight model spreads on cloud cover, wind direction, and any weak frontal influence around the 16th, with minor upside risk to 20°C if clearer skies or brief berg wind effects materialize. Downside to 17°C or below remains possible if stronger onshore flow develops. Resolution hinges on official South African Weather Service observations, underscoring the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range winter temperature markets in this Mediterranean climate zone.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Cape Town on June 16?
19°C 35%
18°C 30%
20°C 20%
17°C 7%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
7%
18°C
30%
19°C
35%
20°C
20%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 35%
18°C 30%
20°C 20%
17°C 7%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
7%
18°C
30%
19°C
35%
20°C
20%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 14, 2026, 1:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models point to a typical mid-June winter maximum near 18°C in Cape Town, consistent with climatological averages of 17–18°C driven by the cool Benguela Current and prevailing westerly flow. Trader consensus clustering on 18–19°C (over 65% combined) reflects tight model spreads on cloud cover, wind direction, and any weak frontal influence around the 16th, with minor upside risk to 20°C if clearer skies or brief berg wind effects materialize. Downside to 17°C or below remains possible if stronger onshore flow develops. Resolution hinges on official South African Weather Service observations, underscoring the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range winter temperature markets in this Mediterranean climate zone.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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