Recent South African Weather Service and global model consensus for June 14 projects a daytime maximum near 15–16 °C under typical mid-winter conditions, with Atlantic maritime air, scattered showers, and variable cloud cover limiting solar heating. These factors keep the market tightly bunched between 14 °C, 15 °C, and 16 °C, as small shifts in frontal timing or insolation can alter the observed peak by 1–2 °C. Historical June averages of 16–18 °C provide context, yet current synoptic patterns favor modest cooling relative to climatology. Traders weigh the narrow forecast spread and resolution criteria (official highest recorded temperature) against remaining model uncertainty on the day of observation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Cape Town on June 14?
16°C 76%
17°C 21.6%
18°C 1.8%
14°C 1.0%
$16,952 Vol.
$16,952 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
61%
17°C
22%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
1%
16°C 76%
17°C 21.6%
18°C 1.8%
14°C 1.0%
$16,952 Vol.
$16,952 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
61%
17°C
22%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent South African Weather Service and global model consensus for June 14 projects a daytime maximum near 15–16 °C under typical mid-winter conditions, with Atlantic maritime air, scattered showers, and variable cloud cover limiting solar heating. These factors keep the market tightly bunched between 14 °C, 15 °C, and 16 °C, as small shifts in frontal timing or insolation can alter the observed peak by 1–2 °C. Historical June averages of 16–18 °C provide context, yet current synoptic patterns favor modest cooling relative to climatology. Traders weigh the narrow forecast spread and resolution criteria (official highest recorded temperature) against remaining model uncertainty on the day of observation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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